Friday, December 31, 2010

The Best of The Western Right: 2010

This blog has been busy this year, covering many topics. We had 300 posts this year. Here are some of the best posts of 2010.

Conservative of the Year: Jim DeMint
National Redistricting Preview
National Conservatives Finally Notice Fred Upton

Analysis: Governor
Analysis: Michigan
Analysis: Kalamazoo

Weaver's Betrayal
The Politically Incorrect Guide to the Founding Fa...
Arguing With Idiots
Analysis of the 20th Senate Primary
Money on Fire
Analysis of 6th District Congressional Race
Jack Hoogendyk for Congress
The Case Against Rick Snyder
Fred Upton's Ten Worst Votes
Fred Upton's Jobs Plan
Who is Grant Taylor?
We Are Doomed
Mike Cox for Governor
Evaluating the Candidates for Governor
Who Killed the Constitution?
The Conscience of a Conservative
Michigan Senate Races
Area State House Races
Hoekstra: Who, Me?
Kalamazoo County Commission Races
Upton on Immigration
Rejecting the Arena
Stand With Arizona
No Arena, for Now
Wrongest Statement Ever in the Herald?
Real Conservative Candidates
Hoekstra on the Bailout
Census Lies
Dave Pawlowski is a Bad Person
Democrats Attack Local Business, Try to Put People Out of Work
Democrats Lie About Margaret
The New Case Against Immigration
2010 Election Preview

The Best of The Western Right: 2009
The Best of The Western Right: 2008
The Best of The Western Right: 2007
The Best of The Western Right: 2006

Best Articles of 2010

It is time for the best articles of 2010. These articles were selected from roughly 10,000 articles this year. More than 400 articles appeared in this year's 52 POLITICAL UPDATES.

The culture war was the most frequent topic, inspiring eight updates. Immigration and government were tied with seven. Fourth was the economy with six.

This year there was a clear choice for the best article of the year.

Angelo Codevilla: America's Ruling Class – And the Perils of Revolution

Following this, in chronological order, are twelve more selections for the most important news or opinion pieces of 2010.

Gary North: A Red-Alert Threat to the Regime
Steve Sailer: “Bad Students”—Unmentionable Cause Of The Great Achievement Gap
Gary North: Bring Down the Ruling Elite
Ann Coulter: Justice Brennan's Footnote Gave Us Anchor Babies
National Review: Ten Reasons to Oppose Dodd-Frank
Gary North: Abolish the Public Schools
John Taylor Gatto: Against Schools
Steve Sailer: MSM Buries Lead—American Majority Supports Arizona Law. But Our Elites Don’t Like The American Majority
Gary North: Read All About It! The NY Times and Other Establishments Sheets Are Dead
Allen Wall: Yes, La Raza Really Does Mean "The Race"—And The Idea Was Invented By a Nazi Sympathizer
Gary North: The City of Detroit is Dead: It Was Killed by Government
Steve Sailer: Hidden Key To Last Decade’s Disasters: Dubya’s Commitment To “Diversity”

Best Articles of 2009
Best Articles of 2008
Best Articles of 2007
Best Articles of 2006
Best Articles of 2005

Thursday, December 30, 2010

2010: The Year at Western

2010 was a fairly quiet year at Western, at least politically. Neither the College Republicans or the various leftist groups on campus made much noise.

Preparations continued all year for a privately funded medical school at Western. An interim dean was appointed and candidates for dean were interviewed.

A bill was introduced in the state house to eliminate the last elements of the Baptist heritage of Kalamazoo College. It passed the state house but was not taken up by the state senate.
The Betrayal of Kalamazoo College

President Dunn suffered a mild heart attack. Governor Granholm signed the bill to expand a business park into Colony Farm Orchard.
Local News

The local Tea Party group had a town hall at Western on health care.
Health Care Town Hall

The Herald was very, very wrong about the WSA.
Wrongest Statement Ever in the Herald?

The few Western students who voted supported the sustainability fee proposal.
Another Green Scam

Never forget America First Day.

There was some sort of controversy over the WSA presidential election.
Local News

A Western student was sued by a local towing company after criticizing its dubious business practices on Facebook. The lawsuit was dropped in December.
Local News

WMU College Republicans Endorse Margaret O'Brien

Western reached a contract agreement with the part-time employees union.

What does the MSA stand for?
Muslim Students Association

Earthquake at WMU

The Board of Trustees approved a 7.4% increase in tuition.
Local News

A local professor wants to talk about race, then calls people racist if they disagree with her.
Local News

This blog defended, then graduated, hopefully for the last time.
Piled Higher and Deeper
Congratulations, Graduates!

Western began construction on the new Sangren Hall despite only having secured part of the funding from the state. Further funding fell through in the legislature, and Western threatened to raise tuition by 3% to compensate.

2009: The Year at Western
2008: The Year at Western
2007: The Year at Western
2006: The Year at Western

Conservative of the Year: Jim DeMint

2010 was unquestionably the year of the Tea Party. Begun in 2009, and drawing from the Ron Paul campaign of 2007-8, the movement went from nothing to rocking Washington in a short time. The conservative movement and Republican party, pronounced dead by some in the wake of the 2008 election are back and in some ways, stronger then ever.

The Tea Party is what conservatives have always needed--a genuine grassroots movement. The movement is leaderless and so cannot be easily corrupted.

Even before winning elections, the Tea Party had a significant impact in Washington. They made democrats pay dearly for passing Obamacare and are keeping up the pressure for repeal. They made cap-and-trade and card check dead in the water. They defeated the omnibus spending bill and the DREAM act.

Unlike previous conservative movements, the Tea Party does not view voting Republican as The Answer. Thus they mounted primary challenges to a slew of unconservative Republicans and defeated Bob Bennett at a convention, Lisa Murkowski in a primary (though not the general), and Bob Inglis in a primary. Arlen Specter and Charlie Crist fled the party rather than face challenges, and both lost. Moderate Mike Castle was denied a Senate nomination. These and a slew of other unsuccessful primary challenges made it clear that congressional Republicans had better shape up or ship out, and that 'the lesser of two evils' was not good enough. Thus even unsuccessful candidates like Christine O'Donnell served a useful purpose. And to think that an early liberal lie about the Tea Party was that it was an AstroTurf creation of the Republican establishment.

The Tea Party is now busy trying to rest control of the Republican party from the establishment.

To achieve its victories, the Tea Party had to overcome one of the most vicious smear campaigns in politics. The biggest lie of course was that they are RAAACIST! depsite a shred of evidence to support this. They didn't let the lies show them down, and in November elected Allen West, Tim Scott, Marco Rubio, Brian Sandoval, Nikki Haley, and a half-dozen Hispanic Republican congressmen.

No one person represents the whole movement, of course. But a strong case can be made for Senator Jim DeMint as the predominant Tea Partier in Washington. DeMint has a long track record of fighting for conservative causes. This often means opposing his own party, as when he fought against the prescription drug bill in 2003 and amnesty in 2006 and 2007. This year, he led the fight against government spending in the Senate, sponsored Ron Paul's audit the Fed bill, and held up a slew of bad legislation.

Having earned the respect of the grassroots, he helped to elect Tea Party candidates in November. He gave early endorsements to Pat Toomey and Marco Rubio. He offered support to Rand Paul and Mike Lee. He used his PAC to send them financial support helped them to raise more on their own. Next year, he will have more staunchly conservative allies in the Senate.

For these reasons, Senator Jim DeMint is The Western Right's conservative of the year.

Honorable mentions: Glenn Beck, Ron Paul, Sarah Palin, Russell Pearce, Sam Alito, Jeff Sessions

Previous winners (including retroactive):
2009: Glenn Beck
2008: Sarah Palin
2007: Ron Paul
2006: Jerome Corsi
2005: Tom Tancredo
2004: John O'Neill
2003: Roy Moore
2002: John Ashcroft
2001: George W. Bush
2000: William Rehnquist

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

National Redistricting Preview

With the release of the 2010 census of state populations, the number of members of congress each state is allocated is now set. Next year we will see the decennial process of redistricting commence.

Redistricting 2010: Who Controls What
A Preview of 2012 Redistricting
Dave's Redistricting App

The posts above explain who controls the redistricting process in each state and what is likely to happen. The analysis is pretty good, though this blog would take issue with it in a few cases. 'Dave's Redistricting App' allows you to try your own hand at political mapmaking. This blog may post its own maps in the future.

The following table contains our projections for what will happen in redistricting. The second column says who controls the process with
R = Republican
D = democrat
S = Split control
C = 'Independent' commission

The third column gives the old number of districts for the state. The fourth column says how many are gained or lost. The fifth column gives the current (post-election) R/D split of the congressional delegation.

The final three column contain the best case, most likely, and worst case scenarios for Republicans of gains or losses due to redistricting. Note that this does not account for gains or losses for other reasons.

Note also that a state gaining or losing a seat leads to a gain or loss of half a seat. This follows the same reasoning that leads to saying that a baseball team leads its division by half a game. That is, if a democrat is eliminated in Michigan and a Republican is added in Georgia, Republicans have gained only one seat, not two.

Here is the table.

State Control #Dist. Change Now Best Likely Worst
AL ___ R ___ 7 ___ 0 ___ 6\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
AK ___ S ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
AZ ___ C ___ 8 ___ 1 ___ 5\3 __ 1.5 __ 0.5 _ -1.5
AR ___ D ___ 4 ___ 0 ___ 3\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ -1
CA ___ C __ 53 ___ 0 __ 33\20 __ 5 ___ 0 ___ -5
CO ___ S ___ 7 ___ 0 ___ 4\3 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ -1
CN ___ D ___ 5 ___ 0 ___ 0\5 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
DE ___ D ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
FL ___ R __ 25 ___ 2 ___ 19\6 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0
GA ___ R __ 13 ___ 1 ___ 8\5 __ 2.5 __ 1.5 __ 0.5
HI ___ D ___ 2 ___ 0 ___ 0\2 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
ID ___ C ___ 2 ___ 0 ___ 2\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
IL ___ D __ 19 ___ -1 __ 11\8 __ -0.5 _ -2.5 _ -3.5
IN ___ R ___ 9 ___ 0 ___ 6\3 ___ 2 ___ 1 ___ 1
IA ___ C ___ 5 ___ -1 ___ 2\3 __ 0.5 __ 0.5 _ -0.5
KS ___ R ___ 4 ___ 0 ___ 4\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
KY ___ S ___ 6 ___ 0 ___ 4\2 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
LA ___ S ___ 7 ___ -1 ___ 6\1 __ -0.5 _ -0.5 _ -0.5
ME ___ R ___ 2 ___ 0 ___ 0\2 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0
MD ___ D ___ 8 ___ 0 ___ 2\6 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ -1
MA ___ D __ 10 __ -1 __ 0\10 __ 0.5 __ 0.5 __ 0.5
MI ___ R ___ 15 __ -1 __ 9\6 __ 1.5 __ 0.5 ___ 0.5
MN ___ S ___ 8 ___ 0 ___ 4\4 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
MS ___ S ___ 4 ___ 0 ___ 3\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
MO ___ S ___ 9 __ -1 ___ 6\3 __ 0.5 __ 0.5 _ -0.5
MT ___ S ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
NE ___ R ___ 3 ___ 0 ___ 3\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
NV ___ S ___ 3 ___ 1 ___ 2\1 __ 0.5 __ -0.5 _ -0.5
NH ___ R ___ 2 ___ 0 ___ 2\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
NJ ___ C ___ 13 __ -1 ___ 6\7 __ 1.5 __ 0.5 _ -0.5
NM ___ S ___ 3 ___ 0 ___ 1\2 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
NY ___ S ___ 29 __ -2 __ 8\21 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ -1
NC ___ R ___ 13 __ 0 ___ 6\7 ___ 4 ___ 2 ___ 1
ND ___ R ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
OH ___ R ___ 18 __ -2 __ 13\5 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ -1
OK ___ R ___ 5 ___ 0 ___ 4\1 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0
OR ___ S ___ 5 ___ 0 ___ 1\4 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0
PA ___ R ___ 19 __ -1 __ 12\7 __ 2.5 __ 1.5 __ 0.5
RI ___ D ___ 2 ___ 0 ___ 0\2 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
SC ___ R ___ 6 ___ 1 ___ 5\1 __ 0.5 __ 0.5 __ 0.5
SD ___ R ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
TN ___ R ___ 9 ___ 0 ___ 7\2 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0
TX ___ R ___ 32 __ 4 ___ 23\9 __ 3 ___ 1 ___ 0
UT ___ R ___ 3 ___ 1 ___ 2\1 __ 1.5 __ 0.5 __ 0.5
VT ___ D ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
VA ___ S ___ 11 ___ 0 ___ 8\3 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
WA ___ C ___ 9 ___ 1 ___ 4\5 __ 1.5 __ 0.5 _ -1.5
WV ___ D ___ 3 ___ 0 ___ 2\1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ -1
WI ___ R ___ 8 ___ 0 ___ 5\3 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___ 0
WY ___ R ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 1\0 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0
Total______435 ___ 0 _ 242\193 _ 35 __ 9 ___ -15

Thus our best projection is a GOP gain of nine seats, with quite a bit of variation between the best and worst case scenarios. Republicans can also shore up some vulnerable incumbents.

Michigan Loses a Seat

As expected, Michigan will lose a seat in the upcoming round of redistricting. Michigan was the only state to lose population over the past decade. It is likely that Gary Peters' district will be carved up.

Once again, all over the country people fled political jurisdictions run by liberals and moved to those run by conservatives. Whether they learned anything along the way is an open question.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Upton Gets His Wish

As expected, Congressman Fred Upton was selected to lead the House Energy and Commerce Committee. Upton campaigned as a conservative, as he always does in his district. We will see over the next two years whether he will act that way.

Upton's bid to lead the committee was opposed by many conservative organizations and commentators. Ironically, Upton's higher visibility may guarantee a high-profile primary challenge in two years.

Down With Upton
National Conservatives Finally Notice Fred Upton

POLITICAL UPDATE--Money and Spending

This update focuses on money and spending.

Gary North: The Digit Juggler
Gary North: Bernanke Lied His Way Through a '60 Minutes' Infomercial
Gary North: The Establishment Is in Despair
Gary North: Who Should Be Burned?
Gary North: Ellen Brown Betrays Her Followers
Gary North: Warren Buffett Lives Off You
Lew Rockwell: The Gold Standard Never Dies
Dan Flynn: Watch the Amazing Fed Turn a Dollar into a Dime!
Gary North: There Is a Revolution Coming

POLITICAL UPDATES are archived here.

Sunday, December 05, 2010

PB Election Analysis

Lefty blogger Peter Bratt has some interesting analysis of the 2010 election in Michigan.

2010 Recap Part II: Michigan State House
2010 Recap Part I: Kent County

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Fraudulent Writing

This is an incredibly disturbing article about the rampant fraud in university paper writing.

The Shadow Scholar
The man who writes your students' papers tells his story

Three notes:
The author writes on all subjects in the humanities and social "sciences", but apparently not at all in math and science.
Students from public schools come to college barely or not at all literate.
If this author can write passing work in these subjects, including at the graduate level, without taking any classes in them, what does it say about the need for classes in these subjects?

POLITICAL UPDATE--Airport Security

This update focuses on airport security. Protests have mounted against the ridiculous and intrusive procedures of the TSA.

Gary North: TSA: Thou Shalt Acquiesce
Thomas Sowell: Airport "Security"?
Ann Coulter: Strange Men Grope Nancy Pelosi Or The Terrorists Have Won
Ann Coulter: Napolitano: The Ball's In My Court Now
Will Grigg: Daedalus Shrugged

POLITICAL UPDATES are archived here.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Weaver Censured

Recently resigned Michigan Supreme Court justice Betty Weaver was censured by the court for secretly recording deliberations without the other justices' consent. The recordings were used in malicious attacks against Justice Robert Young, who was reelected this month.

Weaver was censured not just by Republicans Corrigan, Markman, and Young, but also democrats Kelly and Cavanaugh. Democrat Hathaway opposed censure, while democrat Alton Davis did not vote, perhaps due to conflict of interest. Davis was Weaver's handpicked successor in a secret deal with governor Granholm.

This demonstrates once again that the problems on the Michigan Supreme Court were not due to partisanship, as often alleged in the media. They were due to Weaver. Good riddance.

Down With Upton

FreedomWorks has a website opposing Fred Upton as chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

They also have an extensive list of his votes.

You asked for it! A much, much longer list of Upton’s many, many votes for bigger and more intrusive government.

Over 11000 people have signed a petition against Upton.

Saturday, November 20, 2010

National Conservatives Finally Notice Fred Upton

There has been controversy on the right in recent weeks over the prospect of Congressman Fred Upton assuming the chairmanship of the House Energy and Commerce Committee next year.

Republicans debate whether Congressman Fred Upton is conservative enough to lead House Energy and Commerce Committee
Critics Challenge Choosing Upton as Energy Chair
Nov. 17, 2010 - Gov plan to scramble your cell phone (AUDIO)
Conservatives burn over Fred Upton's light bulb law
Democrats Want GOP Victory to Mark the End, Not the Beginning
Caller Defends Rep. Upton and His Stupid Stance on Lightbulbs

Human Events: Upton Too Liberal on Energy and Commerce
Just Say No to Fred Upton
Upton's Duck and Weave
Fred Upton, Thomas Edison and Whirlpool
Upton Relied On Industry-Crushing Environmentalists
Examiner Editorial: Upton is wrong choice for Energy and Commerce

Upton has been trying to win over folks on the right without much success.
Transparency According to Carol Browner: "Put nothing in writing, ever"
Reduce out-of-control spending now

Many commentators on the right have cited a long string of bad votes by Upton, most notoriously his legislation to ban the incandescent lightbulb by 2012. They have asked how Upton could possibly keep getting reelected with this record.

The short answer: because people in this district don't know his record. Upton is certainly a hard worker with good constituent service who comes across as friendly, likable representative. He works the district hard and regularly appears on all the local media outlets.

And the local media loves him back. The Gazette in particular endorses him every two years and extols his 'moderate' record. Consequently, the local media does not report on his voting record. Oh, an occasional vote may be mentioned here or there, but they are often buried and always quickly forgotten. Upton almost never mentions his nonconservative votes in the district (with occasional exceptions such as the auto bailout), but he highlights his conservative stances such as opposing Obamacare and cap-and-trade, so many local Republicans think that his record is more conservative than it actually is.

Probably the most prominent media outlet to regularly report on Upton's voting record is... this blog.
Fred Upton's Ten Worst Votes
Upton's Light Bulb Ban

As for national conservatives who wonder how Upton keeps getting elected, where were they four months ago when Upton was fending off the toughest primary challenge of his career? Former state rep. Jack Hoogendyk racked up 43% against Upton on a shoestring budget with only radio ads for advertisement. Practically no national conservatives mentioned the race. Jack's total was, as far as this blog remembers, the highest percentage of any unsuccessful challenge to a Republican congressional incumbent this cycle. The only House incumbent to lose a primary challenge this cycle was Rep. Bob Inglis, who was savaged by Glenn Beck for statements attacking conservatives.

Meanwhile, Fred Upton's voting record always seems to get more conservative when he faces conservative scrutiny. His most conservative year according to the American Conservative Union was 2002, when he faced a primary challenge from Dale Shugars. Upton's voting record has been similarly good this year, far better than the 44% he got in 2008. It would be nice if Upton would start voting consistently conservative, but history doesn't suggest that this is likely.


This update focuses on the culture war.

James Fulford: The Fulford File: Mormons and Migration
Phyllis Schlafly: Judges Get Their Comeuppance
Pat Buchanan: Tea Party's Winning Hand
Steve Sailer: How Obama Could Earn Re-Election—Abolish Quotas!
Phyllis Schlafly: Government Trampling on Constitutional Rights of Parents
Gary North: Lose Your Government Chains
Steve Sailer: “Can HBD Trump PC?” Steve Sailer’s Address To the H.L. Mencken Club
Thomas Sowell: The Multicultural Cult
Phyllis Schlafly: Marriage Is the Key to Spending Cuts

POLITICAL UPDATES are archived here.

Local News

Local news around Kalamazoo.

Air Zoo expansion to consolidate exhibits
Air Zoo plans 50,000-square-foot addition for exhibits, aircraft and library
Six seek to replace Margaret O'Brien on Portage City Council
Opinions mixed on backyard chickens in Portage
Dean hopeful for WMU med school stresses communication
WMU Med school dean candidate here Thursday: Says Kalamazoo has "all the pieces in place"
Republicans debate whether Congressman Fred Upton is conservative enough to lead House Energy and Commerce Committee
Western Michigan University growing enrollment, jobs, despite funding erosion
Kalamazoo College launches 'transformational' campaign to raise more than $100 million
Local GOP lawmakers James "Jase" Bolger, Tonya Schuitmaker get leadership posts in Legislature

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Analysis: Governor

Republican Rick Snyder trounced democrat Virg Bernero in the race for Michigan governor. Snyder won 58.1% to Bernero's 39.9%. Snyder won all but five counties (Wayne, Genesse, Washtenaw, Ingham, Gogebic) and he was within 5% in the last four of these. He topped out at 79.1% in Ottowa, 76.7% in Missaukee, and 75% in Livingston County. See county-by-county results here:
NY Times: Michigan election results

Snyder benefited from a national anti-democrat tide and an even stronger such tide in Michigan after eight years of misrule under Granholm and company.

Virg Bernero's anti-business demagoguery looked like more of the same. Rick Snyder appealed to the public as someone from the business world who could create jobs. He was rather vague about the specifics of what it would mean to "reinvent Michigan". Snyder wisely avoided debates as much as possible, which would have played to Bernero's strength, but he held his own in their one debate.

Four years ago, dubious charges of outsourcing and anti-rich class warfare helped Jennifer Granholm defeat Dick DeVos. Four years and no jobs later, voters weren't falling for the same trick again.

Snyder was fortunate to face a weak opponent. Bernero had little name recognition and struggled to raise money. Trailing badly in the polls, he saw potential donors send their money to other more winnable races.

Snyder self-funded his campaign, at least for the primary, but smartly avoided spending too much. He spent enough to get out his message, but not so much that he alienated voters. He avoid the trap that Meg Whitman, Linda McMahon, and many previous self-funders fell into.

Did Snyder's moderation help the Republican ticket? This blog thinks so, but not for the reason one might think. The conventional line from moderates is that Republicans should nominate moderates to appeal to centrist voters. This blog has argued, citing substantial evidence, that Republicans win by nominating conservatives and motivating their base to turn out. This is what happened nationally thanks to the Tea Party movement, as well as in Michigan. Instead, Snyder helped Republicans because democrats were not motivated to turn out to vote against someone so bland and unthreatening.

This blog has not been a big fan of Snyder, due to his vagueness and some liberal positions. But the unexpectedly large Republican majorities in the legislature should help to check Snyder's more liberal impulses.

Analysis: Michigan

Republicans in Michigan won a victory of epic proportions in the November election. They won everything. Well, almost every race that they seriously contested.

NY Times: Michigan election results
Statewide offices, ballot proposals, courts, university boards
U.S. House of Representatives races
State Senate races
State House races

Rick Snyder won the governor's race 58.1% to 39.9% over Virg Bernero. This race is analyzed in more detail in a separate post.
Analysis: Governor

Bill Scheutte won the Attorney General race 52.6% to 43.5% over David Leyton. Scheutte's campaign seemed to focus on saying that Leyton is a bad prosecutor.

Ruth Johnson won the Secretary of State race 50.7% to 45.2% over Jocelyn Benson. Benson is a radical leftist supported by George Soros. She would have been the next Jennifer Granholm, but she was stopped this time. Johnson won with the support of the Tea Party after she exposed the Fake Tea Party voter fraud by democrat party officials, one of whom was employed by Benson.

Republicans won both Supreme Court races. Challenger Mary Beth Kelly got 30% and incumbent Robert Young won 28%, outpacing democrat incumbent Alton Davis with 19% and Denise Morris with 17%. Libertarian Rob Roddis got 6%. Young triumphed over a smear campaign engineered by democrat party boss Mark Brewer that falsely claimed he slept on the bench. Davis was the beneficiary of a backroom deal with Jennifer Granholm engineered by renegade moderate Republican Elizabeth Weaver. Republicans have reclaimed a 4-3 majority on the court. This sets Young up to become the Chief Justice next year. This will also protect the rule of law against liberal activists and the market against greedy trial lawyers. It should also protect a Republican redistricting plan.

Republicans swept the education board races. This follows democrat sweeps in 2006 and 2008. These races were somewhat closer. In the closest, Dr. Richard Zeile won second place for State Board of Ed over democrat Elizabeth bauer by 17000 votes. Conservative Mitch Lyons won the seat of moderate Don Nugent at the Republican convention.

Proposal 1, the constitutional convention, lost 67% to 33%. This proposal will come up again in 2026. Proposal 2, banning felons from office, won 75% to 25%.

Republicans picked up two seats in Congress.
1st district (northern Michigan) Tea Party Republican Dan Benishek won 51.9% to 40.9% over Gary McDowell. Northern Michigan swung heavily to Republicans, as did the demographically similar "Northland" (northern Wisconsin and Minnesota) where Republicans picked up two seats in northern Wisconsin and one in the Iron Range of Minnesota. Republican Michigander has a detailed breakdown of the vote in northern Michigan.
A Closer Look at Northern Michigan's results

3rd district (Kent County) Tea Party libertarian Republican Justin Amash won 59.7% to 37.5% over democrat Pat Miles. Amash is a constitutionalist in the mold of Ron Paul. He easily held off a credible challenge by Miles. A hundred or so local RINOs endorsed Miles, claiming Amash is too conservative. Amash is a huge improvement over retiring moderate Vern Ehlers.

6th district (Kalamazoo, St. Joseph) 24-year incumbent Fred Upton racked up another easy reelection, again defeating Don Cooney. He won 62%, up from 59% in 2008. Third party candidates for the Constitution and Libertarian parties won 2% each.

7th district (Calhoun, Jackson) Staunch conservative Tim Walberg won a rematch 50.1% to 45.4% with democrat congressman Mark Schauer, who defeated him 49% to 46% in 2008. Walberg has an ACU rating of 98%. This seat has changed hands each of the last four elections.

9th District (Oakland County) Democrat congressman Gary Peters won a narrow reelection 49.8% to 47.2% over Rocky Raczkowski. Rocky was far from the best possible candidate for this district, and he had to win an ugly Republican primary over Paul Welday. Peters shouldn't celebrate too much, though, as it is likely that his seat will be cut to pieces in redistricting.

Republicans held geriatric democrats Dale Kildee and John Dingell to the mid-50s in the 5th and 15th districts, bu thiey never really had a chance in districts so packed with democrats. There will now be three staunch conservatives (Benishek, Amash, Walberg) in Michigan's delegation, up from zero presently.

Republicans picked up four seats in the state senate. Shockingly, they won three of them by double digits. Tory Rocca won 54% in central Macomb, David Robertson won 55% in western Genesse, Mike Green won 59% in The Thumb, and Tom Casperson won 56% in the UP. Most of supposedly competitive open seats were similarly lopsided. Tea Party Republican Patrick Colbeck won 52% to 41% in Western Wayne, Tonya Schuitmaker won 58% in Kalamazoo, David Hildenbrand won only 52% to 46% in Grand Rapids, and Geoff Hansen won 58% in Muskegon. Republicans now have a 26-12 majority, which is more than two-thirds.

Republicans picked up a shocking 20 seats in the state house, winning a 63-47 majority. They defeated nine democrat incumbents, winning back five of the nine seats they lost in 2008 and narrowly missing the other four. They won five seats in the 1st congressional district in northern Michigan. The seats won were in Northville/Plymouth, south Wayne, St. Claire Shores, northeast Macomb, western Washtenaw, west Monroe, east Monroe, Lenauwee, west Jackson, east Jackson, Montcalm, Sanlilac/Port Huron, Tuscola, Muskegon suburbs, northwest LP shoreline, northcentral LP, Alpena area, Mackinaw area, southern UP, and western UP.

Conservative Jase Bolger will be the next speaker of the Michigan House. Moderate-conservative Randy Richardville will be the next Senate majority leader. Conservatives in the legislature may check Rick Snyder's more liberal impulses. There is a chance of moving major legislation such as right-to-work. Republicans will control redistricting and can draw maps favorable to themselves for the next decade.

Along with power comes responsibility, of course. They must avoid the mistakes that led to the loss of their house majority in 2006. Voters will expect results, and if Republicans can't deliver, they will soon find themselves out of work.

Analysis: Kalamazoo

Kalamazoo County Republicans cleaned up in the November election, at least outside of the city and township of Kalamazoo. There was a stark divide between those two jurisdictions ("the Kalamazoos") and the rest of the county (ROC). Turnout was fairly low, typically 30-50% in conservative areas and 15-35% in liberal areas. The results cited in this analysis are available at Election Magic.

Rick Snyder racked up 59.4% of the vote in Kalamazoo County. In the Kalamazoos, Snyder won only K Township 2, 3, 6, 7, 9, 11 (all but 9 narrowly) and Kalamazoo City 16, 17, 18, 25 (all narrowly). In the ROC, Snyder lost only Cooper 5 and Oshtemo 5. Republicans swept every other statewide race in Kalamazoo, though by smaller margins. Congressman Fred Upton got 57.8% in Kalamazoo County against Don Cooney. Upton won K Township 6, 7, 9, 11 and Kalamazoo 6, 17, 25 while losing Cooper 5 and Oshtemo 5.

In the state senate race, Tonya Schuitmaker racked up 58% against Bobby Hopewell. Robert Jones got about 2000 absentee votes, or 2.5%, which did not affect the outcome. He would have lost had he not died before the election. Tonya won K Township 9 while losing Comstock 3, Cooper 5, Oshtemo 5, and Portage 1, 2, 7. Tom George won this seat with 57% in 2002 and 52% in 2006.

In the 61st district, Margaret O'Brien beat Thomas Batten with 61.6% of the vote. This is the sort of margins Republicans won in this district in the '90s, before it dropped to the high 50s (early 2000s) and low 50s (2006, 2008). The only precinct in Kalamazoo Township that Margaret won was #9. The only other precincts that she lost were Oshtemo 4 (townhouses, apartments), 5 (low-rent apartments) and Portage 2 (trailer park).

In the 60th district, Jeff Fernandez lost to Sean McCann, who got 63.3% of the vote. Jeff won Cooper 1-4, and lost every other precinct. He did improve on the Republicans who ran against Robert Jones, who won 70% (2006) and 75% (2008). There was never any reason to think that this district was winnable, yet somehow every two years local Republicans delude themselves into thinking it is and waste money on it. Jeff Fernandez would be well-served to run for Kalamazoo City Commission, where he would have a real chance of winning and doing some good.

In the 63rd district, future state house speaker Jase Bolger won every Kalamazoo County precinct in his district except Comstock 3. He also won all of his precincts in Calhoun County.

Republicans picked up two seats in districts 10 and 12 on the Kalamazoo County Commission, winning a 10-7 majority. Here are the results of contested races.
7. (Milwood) Kai Phillips 33.8%, David Buskirk 66.2%
9. (northern Portage) Nasim Ansari 59.1% Chuck Vliek 40.9%
10. (central Portage) Phil Stinchcomb 56.4% Michael Quinn 43.6%
11. (Texas) Tim Rogowski 66.8% Barbara Hammon 33.2%
12. (Oshtemo) Brandt Iden 53.5% Scott McCormick 46.5%
13. (Alamo/Cooper) Deb Buchholz 67.2% Harvey Hanna 32.8%
15. (Comstock) Ann Niewenhuis 61.9% Leroy Crabtree 38.1%
16. (Pavillion/Climax) John Gisler 54.7% Thomas Post 35.2% George Henderson 10.1%
17. (Schoolcraft/Brady) David Maturen 68.7% Jerry Rudolph 31.3%

In past election cycles, this blog has been critical of Republicans who refused to campaign for their seats and lost them to the democrats. Thankfully, this trend was reversed this time. Tonya worked very hard, and Margaret worked hard even when she didn't have to. Stinchcomb worked hard for his win. Iden didn't work as hard as he should have. Democrats will come for this seat again in the future.

In other local races, conservatives in Allegan County failed to unseat a Granholm-appointed judge a second time after beating him in 2008. Allegan voters said no to a new jail for a second time, and by a larger margin. A Republican beat the only democrat on the Allegan County commission.

The Calhoun County commission went from 6-1 democrat to 5-2 Republican. The Cass County Commission went from 8-7 Republican to 12-3 Republican and David Taylor, father of Kalamazoo County commissioner John Taylor lost his reelection. The VanBuren County commission went from 5-2 Republican (in 2009) to 7-0 Republican.

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Election Preview

Today is election day.

Here are previous election previews:
2010 Election Preview
Michigan Senate Races
Kalamazoo County Commission Races

Here are links to election results:
Election Results

Classic Post: Why Voting is Rational

Top US Senate races for conservatives (non-incumbent):
1. AK Joe Miller
2. UT Mike Lee
3. KY Rand Paul
4. NV Sharron Angle
5. CO Ken Buck
6. WI Ron Johnson
7. PA Pat Toomey
8. FL Marco Rubio
9. DE Christine O'Donnell
10. WV John Raese

Top Governor races for conservatives:
1. CO Tom Tancredo
2. FL Rick Scott
3. MN Tom Emmer
4. SC Nikki Haley
5. GA Nathan Deal
6. IL Bill Brady
7. ME Paul LePage
8. AK Sean Parnell
9. NV Brian Sandoval
10. NY Carl Paladino

Selected House races of interest to conservatives:
MI Justin Amash
MI Tim Walberg
MI Dan Benishek
MI Rocky Raczkowski
OR Arthur Robinson
PA Lou Barletta
FL Allen West
SC Tim Scott
CA Van Tran
AZ Jesse Kelly

Top Michigan Senate races for conservatives
1. David Robertson
2. Tom Casperson
3. Patrick Colbeck
4. Mike Green
5. Dave Hildenbrand

Local races of interest:
20. Schuitmaker/Hopewell
61. O'Brien/Batten
60. Fernandez/McCann
63. Bolger/Morgan
80. Nesbitt/Erdmann
Allegan Judge: Ballergeon v. Marks

County Commission:
Phil Stinchcomb
John Gisler
Brandt Iden
Nasim Ansari

Other selected elections of interest:
Kansas SOS: Kris Kobach
SC AG: Alan Wilson
AZ Civil Rights Initiative
Rhode Island and Providence Plantations: Rename 'Rhode Island' HELL NO!

Monday, November 01, 2010

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Piled Higher and Deeper

Educational Progress:

B.S.: Bullsh**
M.S.: More sh**
Ph.D.: Piled higher and deeper

Monday, October 25, 2010

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Change to Hopewell

The democrats have selected Kalamazoo mayor Bobby Hopewell to replace Robert Jones as their nominee for state senate.

Democrats select Kalamazoo Mayor Bobby Hopewell to replace Robert B. Jones on the Nov. 2 ballot in the state Senate's 20th District

Hopewell is notable for his membership in an extreme anti-gun organization.

Hopewell Hates Guns (1)
Hopewell Hates Guns (2)

Hopewell is also a passionate supporter of Kalamazoo's discriminatory gay rights ordinance.

More on Hopewell's positions here:

Analysis of Kalamazoo City Commission Races

Robert Jones, RIP

Democrat state rep. and former mayor of Kalamazoo died on Sunday.

This blog will fondly remember Jones' trademark handlebar mustache.

Local News

Election news around Kalamazoo.

Democrats select Kalamazoo Mayor Bobby Hopewell to replace Robert B. Jones on the Nov. 2 ballot in the state Senate's 20th District
Jack Lessenberry: Should Robert B. Jones have been running for office?
Democrats reflect on life of Robert B. Jones as they prepare to nominate a replacement for the ballot tonight
Robert B. Jones "loved being out there with people," Kalamazoo city commissioners say
Democratic Party leaders to meet Tuesday in Kalamazoo to name a state Senate ballot replacement for Robert B. Jones
Kalamazoo had 'no greater champion' than state Rep. Robert B. Jones, says Mayor Bobby Hopewell
Absentee balloting frozen in Michigan Senate 20th District race after candidate Robert Jones' death; election officials to meet today
State Representative and former Kalamazoo Mayor Robert B. Jones reported dead Sunday morning

Third-party candidates makes their cases in the state House's 80th District: Cheryl Evick, Bill Bradley seek to replace Schuitmaker
Jeff Fernandez and Sean McCann vie for 60th District House seat being vacated by Robert Jones
Job creation and business taxes are issues in 61st District House race between Thomas Batten and Margaret O'Brien
Erdmann, Nesbitt vie to replace Rep. Tonya Schuitmaker in state House 80th District
Southwest Michigan voters get rematch in state House 59th District: Democrat Carol Higgins again vies against Republican Matt Lori

Same goal, different approaches for Robert Jones and Tonya Schuitmaker in 20th Senate District race
Robert Jones and Tonya Schuitmaker lament "extreme pressure" from some groups
Video replay: Robert Jones and Tonya Schuitmaker speak about their Senate seat candidacies
Jones makes pitch to cut lawmaker pay: Schuitmaker says proposal doesn't go far enough
Allegan County board members get challenged: 5 of 11 have opposition in November

Was MPI Research's 3,300-job expansion plan oversold by MEDC, politicians?

Monday, October 11, 2010

Monday, October 04, 2010


This update focuses on the culture war.

Steve Sailer: Diversity Is Strength! It’s Also…A Lot Of Problems For Democrats (Richly Deserved)
Steve Sailer: The Real Inequality Scandal: Rich, Poor and MSM Gang Up On American Middle Class
Phyllis Schlafly: Bloomberg Wants to be a Kingmaker
James Fulford: The Fulford File: Koran Burning, Mosque Building, And The First Amendment
Steve Sailer: Whatever Happened to the Democrats’ Youth/Minority Voter Juggernaut?
Pat Buchanan: The Myth of Equality
Gary North: Of Course, the Recession Wasn't Engineered
Gary North: Eight Unbreakable Rules for Hard-Core Tea Party Activists (or Any Other Special-Interest Coalition)
Steve Sailer: Why Don’t Hispanics (And Italians) Project Like Jews?

POLITICAL UPDATES are archived here.

Local News

Local news around Kalamazoo.

Kalamazoo County Board leaders face challengers: Long-time members Buskirk, Buchholtz seek to retain positions
Kalamazoo County board rematch hotly contested: Campaign spending highest of any district
Portage ponders relaxing rules on backyard chickens
Defeated once, Allegan Judge William A. Baillargeon faces challenge again
Topic of race not easy for some, but professor hopes to spur conversation
Western Michigan University wants $100 million science facility to expand research capabilities
Prosecutor Margaret Bakker, sole practitioner Paul W. Klein vie to replace retiring Allegan judge
Recession hitting hard in Kalamazoo County: Census data show troubling jobless, income, poverty rates
Judge urges Janet Karpus to mentor other women behind bars: Former aide gets 2 years for defrauding billionaire Jon Stryker
UPDATE: Kalamazoo City Commission chooses former city attorney Robert Cinabro replace Terry Kuseske on commission

Thursday, September 16, 2010

Rocky Leading Peters?

A new poll by the Rossman Group has Rocky Raczkowski leading Congressman Gary Peters in the 9th Congressional district. This is a surprise as Rocky has not been considered a top-tier candidate and the race has not attracted as much attention as the 1st or 7th districts.

U.S. Rep. Peters trails in latest tracking poll

45% Raczkowski
41% Peters
10% Undecided

They also polled the statewide races.

51% Snyder
32% Bernero
17% Undecided

Attorney General
40% Scheutte
31% Leyton
29% Undecided

Secretary of State
42% Johnson
28% Benson
30% Undecided


The Detroit Free Press also has a new poll.

Poll shows Snyder has widening lead over Bernero at 53% to 29%

53% Snyder
29% Bernero
15% Undecided

Attorney General
39% Scheutte
25% Leyton
31% Undecided

Secretary of State
31% Johnson
25% Benson
39% Undecided

Sunday, September 12, 2010

Republicans Lead Michigan Races

Recent polls show good news for Michigan Republicans.

Poll: Snyder keeps lead on Bernero, with few undecided
Schuette leads for AG; Johnson in Secretary of State race
Mash-up in Michigan

56% Snyder
36% Bernero
_8% Undecided

Attorney General:
43% Scheutte
34% Leyton
22% Undecided

Secretary of State:
43% Johnson
31% Benson
24% Undecided

Supreme Court:
21% Robert Young
16% Denise Langford Morris
61% Undecided

22% Mary Beth Kelly
14% Alton Davis
61% Undecided

(It isn't clear why these races were separated, as they appear together on the November ballot. It also isn't clear if they identified the incumbents as such.)

Proposal 1 (Constitutional Convention):
35% Yes
39% No
26% Undecided

Proposal 2 (Ban felons from office):
72% Yes
15% No
12% Undecided

MI Congressional Races:
District 1:
45% Benishek
29% McDowell

District 3:
51% Amash
30% Miles

District 7:
45% Walberg
37% Schauer

50% Walberg
40% Schauer

Saturday, September 11, 2010

Remembering 9/11

Remembering September 11

9/11 and Immigration
College Republicans of WMU honor the victims of 9/11 in a tribute of 2,997 flags
Notes from the Chairman

2010 Election Preview

The primary elections and state party conventions for 2010 have passed. Michigan's top constitutional offices, congressional seats, and the entire state legislature will be up for election next November. This article may be updated as the election approaches.

2010 Official Michigan General Candidate Listing

Governor-Leans Republican
Democrat Governor Jennifer Granholm is term-limited. She is fairly unpopular due to the state of Michigan's economy on her watch. Republicans have a good chance of picking up this seat.

On the democrat side, Lieutenant Governor John Cherry was seen as the clear favorite, but dropped out due to the widespread perception that he could not win the general election. The democrat candidate is Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero, formerly a state senator and representative. Bernero is backed by labor unions and 'progressives'. His running mate is Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence, a member of the anti-gun group Mayors Against Illegal Guns.

The Republican nominee is Ann Arbor businessman Rick Snyder. Snyder is a moderate who is not pro-life. His positions on many issues are unclear. He won the primary with strong support from independent voters. His running mate is state rep. Brian Calley, a conservative.

See also:
Rick Snyder's Ten Platitudes
Granholm's Third Term
Virg Bernero: Career Politician

Attorney General-Leans Republican
Current Republican Attorney General Mike Cox is term limited. Both parties nominated candidates at conventions in August. Democrats chose Genessee County Prosecutor David Leyton to be their nominee.

The Republican candidate is former Michigan Court of Appeals Judge, state senator, and congressman Bill Scheutte from the Midland area. Both Scheute is generally considered conservative.

Secretary of State-Leans Republican
Current Republican Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land is term limited. WSU law professor Jocelyn Bensen is the democrat nominee. She is a radical leftist who has worked for many leftist organizations including the Southern Poverty Law Center and NAACP.

The Republican nominee is Oakland County Clerk Ruth Johnson. She is a conservative and former state representative. She helped to expose the fake tea party scandal in Oakland County.

Michigan Supreme Court
There are two seats up for election on the Michigan Supreme Court. They are those of conservative Republican Robert Young and renegade moderate Republican Elizabeth Weaver. Young is running for reelection. Weaver announced for reelection as an independent, then resigned allowing Governor Granholm to appoint as her successor democrat Alton Davis, who will run as an incumbent.

Republicans also nominated Wayne County judge Mary Beth Kelly and democrats nominated Oakland County judge Denise Langford Morris.

See also: Weaver's Betrayal

Other Statewide Offices
State Board of Education
Republicans: Eileen Weiser, Dr. Richard Zeile
Democrats: Elizabeth Bauer, Lupe Ramos-Montigny

U os M Board of Regents
Republicans: Andrea Fischer Newman, Andrew Richner
Democrats: Paul Brown, Greg Stephens

MSU Board of Trestees
Republicans: Mitch Lyons, Brian Breslin
Democrats: Dennis Denno, Colleen McNamara

WSU Board of Governors
Republicans: Diane Dunakiss, Danielle Karmanos
Democrats: Ed Bruley, Brenda Moon

Democrats have swept the education board elections in 2006 and 2008.

Michigan Congressional Seats
Democrats picked up two Michigan congressional districts in 2008. These will be highly contested seats in 2010. Long-time incumbents Bart Stupak, Pete Hoekstra, and Vern Ehlers are retiring, and Carolyn Kilpatrick was defeated by state senator Hansen Clarke in the democrat primary. Most other seats will be safe for the incumbent party.

1st District (Upper Peninsula, Northern Lower Peninsula) Toss-up.
Democrat Bart Stupak announced his retirement shortly after voting for Obamacare. While Stupak held this seat for 18 years, it is politically competitive and has been won by Republicans in the past. The democrat nominee will be state rep. Gary McDowell, who is nominally pro-life and pro-gun, after democrats forced all the other candidates (Joel Sheltrown, Connie Saltonstall, Matt Gillard) out of the race. The Republican nominee is Doctor Dan Benishek, who beat state senator Jason Allen by 15 votes in the primary. The district is ideologically ideosyncratic and highly competitive.

3rd District (Kent County) Safe Republican.
Republican moderate Vern Ehlers is retiring. The Republican nominee is conservative state rep. and Tea Party favorite Justin Amash. Democrats nominated Pat Miles for this seat.

6th District (Kalamazoo/St. Joseph) Safe Republican.
Moderate Republican Fred Upton is running for a 13th term. He overcame a surprisingly strong challenge by staunch conservative former state rep. Jack Hoogendyk, who won 43% in the primary. The democrat candidate will be leftist Kalamazoo City Commissioner Don Cooney, who lost to Upton in 2008 by over 20%. There will also be several third party candidates.

7th District (Battle Creek/Jackson) Leans Republican.
Democrat Mark Schauer very narrowly defeated Republican Congressman Tim Walberg 49-46 in a hard-fought and bitter race in 2008. In 2009, Republicans picked up the senate seat that Schauer vacated by a landslide 61-34 margin. Now Walberg is seeking to reclaim his seat, and easily won the nomination again. Schauer has compiled a highly liberal voting record in Washington, supporting socialized medicine, cap-and-trade, the Obama stimulus plan, and more. Several polls have shown Walberg to be the favorite.

9th District (eastern Oakland County) Leans Democrat.
Democrat Gary Peters won this seat by defeating Republican Joe Knollenberg by a wide margin. The Republican nominee is former state rep. Rocky Rachowski.

15th District (Downriver, Ann Arbor, Monroe County) Safe Democrat.
Democrat John Dingell, a 55-year incumbent, is facing a stronger than usual challenge from Republican Dr. Rob Steele. One poll showed the race with 9 points.

Michigan Senate
All 38 seats in the Michigan state senate are up for election, and 29 have no incumbent due to term limits. Republicans succently hold a 22-16 advantage after winning a 2009 special election to replace Mark Schauer. Democrats will likely target Republican-held seats in Kalamazoo County, Grand Rapids, the northeastern lower peninsula, Muskegon County, and western Wayne County. Republicans will target democrat-held seats in southern Genessee County, the Upper Peninsula, the Thumb, central Macomb county, and Livonia.

Michigan Senate Races

20th District-Leans Republican
This district includes all of Kalamazoo County and a small part of VanBuren county. Republican Senator Tom George is leaving due to term limits. There are contested races on both sides. On the democrat side, state Rep. Robert Jones of Kalamazoo is the nominee. He is a liberal who supported several gay rights measures and pushed a bill to allow a tax increase for the Kalamazoo arena proposal.

On the Republican side, the nominee is state rep. Tonya Schuitmaker, who has represented about 30,000 people in the 21st district in VanBuren County since 2004. She is moderate to conservative. Schuitmaker opposed making English the official language of Michigan and voted to ban smoking in restaurants and bars.

The state senate seats surrounding Kalamazoo County are safely Republican. Mike Nofs should easily hold the 19th district [Calhoun, Jackson Counties] while the seats vacated by Cameron Brown [St. Joseph, Branch, Hillsdale, Lenewaee Counties], Ron Jelenik [Berrien, VanBuren, Cass Counties] and Patty Birkholz [Allegan, Barry, Eaton Counties] should stay Republican.

Michigan House
All 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives are up for election. Democrats currently have a 67-43 majority. Republicans will likely target a number of seats that they lost over the past three cycles. 52 seats are open due to term limits or candidates running for other offices.

Area State House Races

The above post examines local state house races in greater detail. Most local state house races are not especially competitive.

Kalamazoo County Commission
All 17 seats on the Kalamazoo County Commission will be up for election. Democrats hold a 9-8 edge. Republicans will target the seat of democrat John Niewenhuis in Oshtemo Township, who lost in the primary, and Michael Quinn in central Portage. Democrats may target Ann Niewenhuis in Comstock Township and Nasim Ansari in northern Portage. The races are examined in greater detail in the following post.

Kalamazoo County Commission Races