2024 Michigan Election Results
President: Trump 49.8% Harris 48.3%, Other 1.9%
Senate: Rogers 48.3% Slotkin 48.6% Frustratingly close loss.
Congress. The congressional delegation will be 7R, 6D. Rs picked up district 7.
1. 59-38 for Jack Bergman
2. 65-32 for John Moolenaar
3. Hudson 44 Scholten 54 This gerrymandered seat isn't winnable in this form.
4. 56-43 for Bill Huizenga
5. 66-33 for Tim Walberg
6. 35-62 for Debbie Dingell
7. Tom Barrett 50.3% Curtis Hertel 46.6% PICKUP for Barrett after losing by 5% in 2022.
8. Paul Junge 44.6% Kristen Rivet 51.3% After three consecutive losses for Junge, time for a different candidate. There will be a special election for Rivet's senate seat.
9. 67-30 for Lisa McClain
10. John James 51 Carl Marlinga 45 Decent improvement for James in this rematch.
11. 40-58 for Haley Stevens
12. 25-70 for Rashida Tlaib
13. 25-69 for Shri Thanedar
State House. The house will be 58R, 52D. Rs picked up four seats, ending the D majority after two years. They overcame the gerrymandered map.
2. Kokinda 42 Liberati 52 Downriver is getting more competitive.
13. Singer 46.3 Xiong 50.8 This may be worth targeting in the future.
20. Cowley 47 Arbit 53
21. Konesky 43 Kelly Breen 55
22. Stathakis 47.5 Matt Kolezar 52.5
27. Linting 52.2 Churches 47.8 PICKUP
28. Thompson 54.4, Robinson 45.6
29. DeSana 55 Wright 45
31. Biniecki 49.4 Reggie Miller 50.6 (686 votes) Missed opportunity?
38. Whiteford 46.9 Joey Andrews 53.1
40. Sackett 44 Longjohn 56 Modest improvement in a once-Republican district.
42. Matt Hall 57 Marsman 43 Hall is in line to be Speaker this upcoming term.
44. Frisbie 51.9 Haadsma 48.1 PICKUP in a district where Rs found a better candidate.
46. Schmaltz 52.1 Mahoney 47.9 Only a small decline in a district where Ds disowned their candidate two years ago.
48. Ignatowski 47.1 Conlin 51.5
54. Donni Steele 52.4 Shadia Martini 47.6 Districts 54 and 55 continue to be a concern.
55. Tisdel 53.7 Bernard 46.3
57. Kuhn 57 Farooqi 43
58. Robinson 53.2 Shannon 46.8 PICKUP thanks to big R margin in Sterling Heights.
61. Wojtowicz 49.3 Mentzer 50.7 (715 votes)
62. St Germaine 56 Levine-Woodman 44
68. David Martin 54 Schlinker 46
69. Duveneck 44 Martus 56
73. Rockey 45 Brixie 55
76. Shaver 47.9 Witwer 52.1
80. Sage 43 Phil Skaggs 57
81. Youngquist 45 Wooden 55
83. Brann 46.9 Fitzgerald 53.1
84. Wetzel 45 Glanville 55
The Grand Rapids area is gerrymandered to have 5 D districts, instead of the 2-3 D districts a fair map would have. Note that the R percentages in 80, 81, 83, and 84 are all 43-47%--drawn to be just out of reach.
86. Nancy DeBoer 56 Klomparens 44
92. Neyer 58 Odykirk 42
96. Beson 60 Howard 40
103. Trombley 47.2 Coffia 52.8
109. Bohnak 51.3 Jenn Hill 48.7 PICKUP with a better candidate than the previous 4-time loser.
Supreme Court:
Full term: Fink (R) 39 Thomas (D) 61
Partial term: O'Grady (R) 38 Bolden (D incumbent) 62
Ds will now hold a 5-2 majority on the court. Ds did much better at getting their voters to vote in this nonpartisan race.
COA District 2: Ackerman 55 Willis 45
Ackerman had many R endorsements (and some Ds).
State Board of Education: R incumbents Snyder and McMillin were reelected. There was a 74K vote margin between the second and third candidates.
University of Michigan: Meyers (R) and Illich (D incumbent) won. The other R finished last.
Michigan State: Rs Balow and Maday won. There was a 14K vote margin between the second and third candidates.
Wayne State: Rs Busuito and Reddy won. There was a 66K vote margin between the second and third candidates.
My ratings turned out to be pretty accurate. Every race I had at safe for a party was won by that party. The only lean race I missed was house 109. I predicted all tossups correctly. For congress, the tossup had a margin of 4, and the leans had margins of 6 and -7.
My state house tossups had margins of 4, 4, 4, 6, and -6. My lean R races had margins from 5 to 14. My lean D races had margins from 4 to -10. The closest margin in race I had at safe was -6 in district 20.
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