Wednesday, February 06, 2008

Super Tuesday

Twenty-some states voted on Tuesday. McCain, Romney, and Huckabee all won several states.

McCain's victories were focused in more liberal blue states of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, and California. He also won home state Arizona and Oklahoma and Missouri.

Huckabee won the southern states Arkansas, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and West Virginia. Romney won a plurality on the first ballot of the West Virginia caucuses, but McCain and Huckabee made a deal to prevent him from winning the second ballot.

Romney won his home state of Massachusetts, Mormon capital Utah, and caucuses in Minnesota, Colorado, North Dakota, and Montana.

Ron Paul had his best showings to date with 25% in Montana and 21% in North Dakota.

Interestingly, with additional wins in Wyoming, Nevada, and Maine, Romney has won every caucus except Iowa and West Virginia. Caucus voters are more dedicated, and presumably better informed than primary voters.

McCain is the definite front-runner, but Romney and Huckabee did well enough to continue. Ron Paul will probably go all the way to the convention no matter what. Louisiana and Kansas are on Saturday, and Virginia, Maryland, and DC are next Tuesday.

Hillary and Obama closely split the super Tuesday states, so the democratic race will probably continue for at least another month.

What do the Republican results mean for conservatism? What can we learn from the primary campaign so far? What will Ron Paul's movement do next? More thoughts on these topics to come...

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