Wednesday, August 18, 2021

Is a Part-time Legislature a Good Idea?

One common goal of conservative activists in Michigan is a part-time legislature.  This dates back to before the Tea Party era, and it reappears periodically, as in Brian Calley's ill-fated ballot proposal in 2017.  But is this really something that conservatives should want?

To be sure, a part-time legislature is not some pipe dream.  Forty states have some form of a part-time legislature, though how part-time they are varies from state to state.  For example, in Minnesota the part-time legislators are paid $46500, which is a decent salary for a full-time job.

There are a couple commonly cited benefits to a part-time legislature.  One is saving money on legislators' salaries.  This is a small proportion of a state budget.  In Michigan, the state budget is 61.6 billion, and the entire budget for the state legislature is 175 million, or 0.3%.  The base salary for legislators is about $72000, so the total salary for legislators is about 10.6 million.  Even if we assume a total cost of $100000 per legislator including fringe benefits, the total cost is still only about 15 million, or 0.02% of the state budget.  Clearly the savings from cutting legislators' salaries are minimal.

Another benefit cited is to limit the time the legislature is in session, and hence to limit the number of bills passed.  There is some evidence on behalf of this belief.

There are also some downsides to a part-time legislature.

One problem is that a part-time legislature limits who can be a legislator.  When legislator salaries are low, most people who need to support a family will find it impractical to run for office.  Those who can run for office will be mainly wealthy people, retirees, and young activists.

Some professions would be much more convenient for potential candidates.  Anyone with a fixed schedule (office workers, factory workers, teachers, etc.) could not hold theri job while being a legislator.  However, people more flexible employment (salesmen, real estate agents, farmers, many business owners, political activists) could.  Is this fair?  Does it lead to better political outcomes for the public?

Another problem is the potential for conflict of interest.  Legislators who are financially dependent on a particular business would be very likely to vote for its interests.  (While legislators might be required to abstain on a bill that directly involved their own employer, this would not extend to an entire industry.  Farmers are not expected to recuse themselves on all bills involving agriculture.)

It is all too likely that legislators who are employed by someone else will face some pressure to vote the way the employer would prefer.  It wouldn't have to be anything as direct as actually ordering an employee to vote a certain way.  An employer could drop a few hints, and the legislator would know that the wrong vote might risk his job.

Case in point, an Alabama state representative was fired from his job as a sheriff's deputy after sponsoring a constitutional carry bill.

The sheriff in Mobile County, Alabama has fired a captain in the Sheriff’s Department over his support for Constitutional Carry. Capt. Shane Stringer is also a state representative, and was the primary sponsor of the permitless carry bill introduced in the legislature earlier this year. That apparently angered Sheriff Sam Cochran enough that he terminated Stringer over the legislation.

Cochran notified Stringer on Wednesday that he was being fired as a captain within the department because he sponsored “constitutional carry” gun rights legislation as a member of the Alabama House of Representatives. Cochran also told a Washington County media outlet that the bill to allow Alabamians to carry their handguns concealed without paying an Alabama sheriff for a pistol permit for the privilege was the reason for the personnel decision.

How many times have state legislators changed their positions because they weren't brave enough to stand up to pressure?

Another issue is how the proposal would affect the legislature's ability to check the powers of the other branches.  After all, the governor and executive branch officials would still be full-time.  If the legislature has a problem with the governor's actions, how can it pass legislation, hold hearings, initiate impeachment, etc. if it is not in session?  A governor could wait to veto popular legislation until the legislature is out of session, and depending how the law is written, it might not be able to return to vote on an override.

In Michigan, executive branch appointments are automatically confirmed unless the legislature rejects them within 60 days.  Citizens' initiatives can be approved by the legislature (and bypass the governor) when it is in session.  Otherwise, they must go on the ballot in the next election.  A well-crafted plan for a part-time legislature might avoid some of these problems, but if the legislature is regularly called back to vote on veto overrides, appointments, initiatives, etc., is it really part-time?

Most politicians don't deserve what they are paid.  But paying politicians isn't about what they deserve, it is about ensuring their independence in a system of checks and balances designed to protect our rights.  A part-time legislature would weaken their role in that system.

Friday, August 06, 2021

Governor Whitmer's Crazy Fundraising Scheme

Governor Gretchen Whitmer is ignoring fundraising limits for her campaign for reelection.  Her most recent campaign finance report shows that she raised at least $250,000 from some donors, despite a law limiting gubernatorial candidates to $7150 per individual donor.

Whitmer's fundraising strategy an 'illegal scheme,' conservative group says

To justify this, Whitmer is using an opinion by former Secretary of State (1970-1994) Richard Austin, who claimed that an incumbent subject to a recall could raise unlimited funds to counter it.  But the law doesn't say this.

There are several groups promoting a recall of the Governor, but they have essentially no money or organization.  Most of their petitions haven't made it past the Board of Canvassers, and one that did has since expired.  Even if there were an active recall petition, it would be very difficult for organizers to collect the necessary signatures.  There will not be any recall election.  Nonetheless, Whitmer is claiming that she can raise unlimited money to fight a nonexistant recall and then transfer it all to her reelection campaign when no recall election occurs.

Austin's opinion is crazy.  If it were to hold, any incumbent could have a political ally file a recall petition against him, and benefit from unlimited fundraising against a recall that would never happen.

It might make sense to allow an incumbent subject to recall to raise money separately to fight the recall.  But if so, the same fundraising limits should still apply, and no money from a recall campaign fund should transfer to a reelection campaign fund.

This is just the latest abuse of power by Whitmer.  Most famously, she abused her emergency powers during the pandemic.  The Michigan Supreme Court ruled 4-3 that the 1945 emergency powers law was unconstitutional (it was intended to be used for short-term emergencies like riots).  It also ruled unanimously that her use of the 1976 emergency powers act was illegal.  (Orders using it must expire after a month, which Whitmer tried to evade by just reissuing the same order.)  She then implemented many of the same policies using the Michigan health department.  She also abused power in other ways, including attempting to unilaterally close Enbridge Line 5.

The legislature should immediately pass a law repudiating Austin's opinion and dare Whitmer to veto it.  Her actions should also be challenged in the courts.

Wednesday, August 04, 2021

August 2021 Primary Election Results

Detroit Mayor:  Duggan 73 Adams 10  They move on to a runoff that Duggan will win easily.
Detroit Clerk:  Winfrey 72 McCampbell 14  The incompetent Winfrey is likely to win another term.
Detroit Proposal P:  No 68  Deeply flawed charter revision rejected.

Dearborn Mayor:  Hammoud 42 Woronchak 18  State rep Hammoud is likely to win in November, leaving his seat open.

Taylor Mayor:  Garza 36 Woolley 22 Jones 22  Mayor Sollars, who is under indictment, lost a write-in campaign.  If state rep Garza wins, it will open his seat in November.

Pontiac Mayor:  Greimel 53  Former state rep Greimel represented Pontiac in the legislature, but only recently moved into the city.

Flint:  Pro-Trump councilman Maurice Davis lost his seat.

State senate:
8.  Wozniak 36 Hornberger 29 Mekoski 21
28.  Huizinga 33.8 Green 33.2 Brann 32.9
The winners are both establishment-friendly candidates.  They are both state reps who will leave their seats open when they win in November.  The election conspiracy candidates (Mekoski and Green) have a constituency, but don't represent a majority of the GOP.

Sunday, August 01, 2021

Political Rules Are Made to be Broken

In a recent article, Bill Ballenger excoriates Governor Gretchen Whitmer's record, but concludes that she will be reelected.

Whitmer may be Michigan’s worst governor ever, but she’s still likely to be re-elected

Aside from the question of whether Rs will field a quality candidate, Ballenger's argument rests on a historical pattern.

And no incumbent governor in Michigan history, of either major party, has EVER been defeated when seeking election to a second four-year term. Yes, after Sigler, Democrat John Swainson lost to Romney in 1962, but those were in the days of two-year terms. Yes, Democrat Jim Blanchard lost in 1990 to Engler, but Blanchard had already WON a second four-year term. A 1990 win would have given him a THIRD term. Bill Milliken and Engler won all three times they ran for four-year terms. In fact, their first re-elections were by bigger margins than their initial wins. Ditto Granholm. Snyder also won re-election in 2014, before he was term-limited.

This is one of those rules that holds until it doesn't.  Plenty of similar rules have failed in the past.  America never elected a black president until it did.  America never elected a president without previous government service until it did (Trump).

Incumbents certainly have an advantage seeking reelection.  They have already won a plurality of votes once.  They can spend their term fundraising and gaining publicity, while a challenger has much less time to do so.  But incumbents can lose, due to unpopular decisions or changes in the political landscape.  The fact that Jim Blanchard lost in 1990 proves it can happen.

In fact, there is another 'rule' that conflicts with the one Ballenger mentions.  Since 1975, Michigan has always elected a governor of the opposite party from the president, with the exception of the close election of 1990.  Thus since 1975, Michigan always elects a governor of the opposite party when there is an incumbent running for reelection the first time.  This 'rule' would predict that Whitmer will lose next year.

Of course, 'rules' don't decide elections, voters do.  Conservatives must work to defeat Whitmer next year.

Saturday, July 31, 2021

August 2021 Judiciary News

Congratulations to President Trump on his reinstatement as President sometime this month!

Nominations, Hearings, Confirmations:

Breyer:  Justice Breyer stated in an interview that he has not decided when to retire.

Breyer:  Schadenfreude alert!  Leftists are furious at Justice Breyer's refusal to retire.

Biden nominees:  Ian Millhiser provides a leftist perspective on how Biden has changed judicial nominations compared to Obama.

Judiciary Committee:  Shockingly, D senators who complained about how Rs were running the judicial confirmation process are now doing the same things they complained about.

California:  More than six months into Biden's presidency, there are still no nominees for the many vacancies on California's district courts.  Senators Dianne Feinstein and Alex Padilla have sent names to the White House, and it isn't clear what the hold up could be.

SD-FL:  The Rubio Judicial Nominating Commission recommended David Leibowitz and Detra Shaw-Wilder for district judge.  Shaw-Wilder was also recommended by the congressional (Wasserman-Schultz/Hastings) JNC. Leibovitz is close to Rubio and has a history of supporting D campaigns.

ED-WI:  A bipartisan commission has recommended four candidates for a federal judgeship in ED-WI.  The judge sits in Green Bay.  Three of the four candidates are from Green Bay.  The fourth, Milwaukee judge William Pocan, brother of far-left Rep. Mark Pocan, is a particularly bad choice.

Nominations:
TBD

The Federal Judiciary:

Supreme Court:  A 538 analysis shows the Supreme Court has moved right, and by some measures, Brett Kavanaugh is now the median justice.

Supreme Court:  The court accepted Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, a case challenging a Mississippi 15-week abortion ban.  Mississippi is asking for Roe v. Wade to be overturned.  Upholding the law should imply overturning Roe, but the court may find an illogical way to avoid doing both.

Garland:  Jessica Garland, daughter of AG Merrick Garland, has been hired as a clerk for Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan.  After criticism of the hire, it was announced that she will delay her clerkship until her father is not AG.  Otherwise, either she or Justice Kagan might have to recuse from cases involving the Justice Department.

5th Circuit:  A panel found that mandatory dues to the state bar association in Texas should not be required due to its lobbying for liberal legislation not germane to its mission.  The panel did find that many activities related to pro bono work and diversity are allowed, so the bar may be able to reinstate mandatory dues if it avoids ideological lobbying.

9th Circuit:  The Supreme Court reversed the 9th Circuit in 15 of 16 appeals it heard from that circuit last term.  Ed Whelan wonders if the circuit is changing, as it recently voted to hear an appeal of a liberal panel ruling en banc.

D-SD:  Senior Judge Charles Kornmann continues to push prosecution of several US marshals who removed several defendants from his courtroom in a dispute over their refusal to state whether they received the COVID vaccine.  The DOJ declined to prosecute the marshals, so Judge Kornmann appointed a private attorney to prosecute them.  All the other judges in D-SD recused themselves from the case.  At their request, the 8th Circuit appointed Judge Brian Buescher of Nebraska to oversee the trial.

Vacancy Declarations:  There are now 115 current and future judicial vacancies.  New vacancies over the past month are listed below.
SD-CA: William Hayes (W) 8/1 (senior)
1st Circuit: O. Rogeriee Thompson (Obama) 12/31 (senior)
ND-IL: Matthew Kennelly (Clinton) 10/7 (senior)
ED-MI: David Lawson (Clinton) 8/6 (senior)
Federal Circuit: Kathleen O’Malley (Obama) 3/11/22 (senior)

State Supreme Courts:

Alaska:   Governor Mike Dunleavy appointed Superior Court Judge Jennifer Stuart Henderson to the Alaska Supreme Court.  She was appointed to the Superior Court by left-leaning independent Gov. Bill Walker.  The appointment comes a week after he asked the Alaska Judicial Council for a new slate of candidates.  They had not responded to his request.

Arizona:  Governor Doug Ducey appointed Kathryn Hackett King to the open seat on the Arizona Supreme Court vacated by Andrew Gould.  She is a member of the Arizona Board of Regents and a former aide to Ducey.

Georgia:  Governor Brian Kemp appointed Verda Colvin to succeed Chief Justice Harold Melton.  She is a black woman who serves on the Georgia Court of Appeals since she was appointed by Kemp in March 2020.  She will be the only black judge on the court.  Another candidate for the Supreme Court seat, Solicitor General Andrew Pinson, was appointed to fill Colvin’s seat on the Appeals Court.  Pinson clerked for Justice Thomas on the US Supreme Court.

Michigan:  Michigan Supreme Court Justice Richard Bernstein returned to Michigan after spending six months in the United Arab Emirates and Israel.  Shortly after voting to uphold Governor Whitmer's illegal emergency powers, he violated pandemic guidelines to travel out of America.

Montana:  This article summarizes the recent conflict between the Montana legislature and judiciary from a leftist perspective.

New Mexico:  Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham appointed New Mexico Court of Appeals Judge Briana Zamora to the New Mexico Supreme Court.  She replaces Justice Barbara Vigil. This is Grisham's fourth appointment to the five-member court.

Oklahoma:  Governor Kevin Stitt appointed Oklahoma Court of Criminal Appeals Judges Dana Kuehn to the Oklahoma Supreme Court seat vacated by Tom Colbert.  She was appointed to her current position in 2017.  This is Stitt's third appointment to the court.  The court now has 5 R and 4 D appointees, but one of the R appointees is not a conservative.

Numbers and Trivia:

Chief Justices:  Of all 17 chief justices of the Supreme Court, only 4 were elevated from associate justice (Rehnquist, Stone, E. White, Rutledge).  Note that Hughes had previously been a justice, but resigned for another position.  Only 6 had any experience as a judge before joining the Supreme Court, (E. White, Taft, Vinson, Burger, Rehnquist, Roberts).

Retirements (Reagan):  When did appeals court judges appointed by Ronald Reagan retire?  By retire, I mean leave active status, that is resign, retire, take senior status, or die in office.  Reagan appointed 83 appeals court judges.  Here are the numbers.

4 (5%) resigned early (Bork, Scalia, Starr, Sneeden)
44 (53%) retired when eligible (within 1st year)
23 (28%) retired later
(7%) died in office
6 (7%) still active (Newman, Wilkinson, Easterbrook, E. Jones, Kanne, J. Smith)

38 (46%) retired under R president
39 (47%) retired under D president
6 (7%) still active
12 (14%) retired in first year of R president

The (shockingly large) percentage of Reagan appointees who retired immediately is much larger than that for Carter appointees (29%).  Many of them turned their seats over to Clinton appointees.

History:

Nominations:  Despite decades of dominating the courts, progressives have convinced themselves that they "lost the courts" because they are just too darn nice!  The Atlantic article somehow fails to mention their slandering of Clarence Thomas, filibustering of nominees under W, and eliminating the filibuster under Obama.  It also does not consider the possibility that progressives "lost the courts" because voters didn't like judges subverting democracy to impose leftist policy preferences.  Ed Whelan also debunks the article.

Blue Slips:  This history of the blue slip isn't new, but it has much good historical information.

Resources:

Sunday, July 25, 2021

Pam Hornberger for State Senate

On Tuesday, August 3, there are special election primaries for two vacant seats in the Michigan state senate.  One of them is district 8 is northern Macomb county, which is open due to Pete Lucido's election as Macomb County Prosecutor.

There are two main R candidates for the seat, state reps Pam Hornberger and Doug Wozniak.  Hornberger is the clear choice for conservatives.

In 2020, Hornberger has the 6th highest conservative rating by MIRS, while Wozniak was tied for 30th.  In 2019, Hornberger has the 2nd highest conservative rating by MIRS, while Wozniak was tied for 34th.

Wozniak voted for business subsidies 100% of the time, while Hornberger voted for less than 1% of business subsidies. Wozniak voted to allow higher taxes on motels, while Hornberger voted against.

Hornberger is pro-life, pro-gun, and has been a leader among conservatives in the legislature.  She deserves the support of conservatives.

2021 Michigan State Senate Special Election Fundraising

On Tuesday, August 8, there will be a special election primary to fill two vacant Michigan state senate seats.  Here are the fundraising numbers for the leading R candidates.  These numbers come from the SOS campaign finance reports.

8. Hornberger 78K, Wozniak 92K (44K self), Mekoski 38K
28. Huizenga 171K, Brann 94K (80K self), Green 48K (41K self)

The DeVos family is supporting Hornberger and Huizenga.

Wednesday, July 14, 2021

Endless Election Conspiracy Theories

One of the first things you learn when studying politics is that there are lots of people who disagree with you.  Sadly, it seems increasingly common for the base of whichever party loses the presidency to latch onto some conspiracy theory to deny that they actually lost.

This blog has extensively debunked the misinformation about the 2020 election promoted by President Trump and some of his supporters.  But this phenomenon didn't start there.

In 2016, democrats spread rumors that President Trump was colluding with Vladimir Putin to steal the election.  This was started at the top with the phony Steele Dossier that led to the Mueller investigation.  However, it took on a life of its own, with a significant number of dems believing that the Russians actually changed the vote totals, which was never even alledged.

During the Obama years, there was the birther conspiracy theory.  The claim that Obama's pregnant mother took a flight to a third world country to give birth in the country of the guy who dumped her never made much sense.  But some people who couldn't handle the fact that Obama was fairly popular latched onto this claim as a technicality to deny that he had actually won.

The left had its own theories to deny the legitimacy of George W. Bush's victories.  In 2000, the (admittedly close) election in Florida led the left to claim he was "selected not elected".  Contrary to the left's mythology, there was a full (machine) recount, Al Gore was the first to file a lawsuit, and he never asked for a statewide recount.  The Supreme Court finally put a stop to the absurdity (by a 7-2, not 5-4 vote) of different counties using different standards to recount the ballots.

In 2004, some on the left focused on the Diebold voting machines used by the state of Ohio.  They claimed that the machines had been rigged to deliver the election to Bush.  Republicans apparently forgot to rig the 2006 and 2008 elections, which they lost badly.

I don't recall any conspiracy theories about Bill Clinton's election.  Discontent with the election on the right focused on the candidacy of Ross Perot costing George HW Bush the election.  While this may be true, the fact that Bush lost so many votes still signified serious discontent with his policies.

The left's rage over the 1988 election focused on the Willie Horton ad supposedly stoking racial divisions.  Bush's ad never mentioned Horton's race or showed his picture.  In any case, Michael Dukakis' record on crime was a perfectly legitimate issue to raise.

In 1980, some on the left promoted the "October Surpise" theory that Ronald Reagan had made a deal with Iran to prevent the release of hostages until after the election.  There was never any evidence of this.

Conspiracy theories have moved beyond presidential elections.  In 2018, losing dem candidate for governor of Georgia Stacy Abrams refused to concede the election.  She promoted false claims that voters were suppressed from voting.  She was widely embraced by the left, which largely endorsed her claims.

Dems have recently taken to promoting the idea that any effort to secure elections or limit the timeframe for voting is "voter suppression" that is akin to Jim Crow laws.  They never point to even a single person who was legally eligible to vote but unable to do so.

They claim that voter ID is racist, despite massive popular support for it, including a majority of dems.  Ironically, they claim that blacks are less capable of performing the basic task of obtaining an ID, a far more racist claim.

Dems are promoting HR1, the "For the People Act". Any bill with a title that saccarine is likely a scam.  In addition to banning voter ID, the bill also removes all bans on ballot harvesting, a practice which actually was used to commit fraud in the 2018 North Carolina 9th congressional district election.  The bill contains many other terrible provisions designed to benefit dems.

If candidates refusing to concede elections they lost becomes the norm, America will be worse off.

Thursday, July 01, 2021

July 2021 Judiciary News

Breyer untired!

Nominations, Hearings, Confirmations:

Biden nominees:  President Biden got his first judicial confirmations in June.  The first of five district judges confirmed was Julien Neals (D-NJ).  The first of two appeals court judges confirmed was Ketanji Brown Jackson (DC Circuit), a possible Supreme Court candidate.

Public Defenders:  With President Biden nominating more public defenders to the judiciary, GOP senators are raising concerns over whether they have the necessary experience or are too sypathetic to criminals.

Nominations:
4th Circuit:  Toby Heytens--clerk for Ginsberg, Virginia Solicitor General 
9th Circuit:  Jennifer Sung--clerk for Betty Binns Fletcher (9th Circuit), labor lawyer
ED-MI:  Shalina Kumar--Oakland County Sixth Circuit Court
WD-MI:   Jane Beckering--MI court of appeals judge
ED-VA:  Patricia Tolliver Giles--clerk for Gerald Lee (ED-VA), AUSA
ED-VA:  Michael Nachmanoff--clerk for Leonie Brinkema (ED-VA), Magistrate Judge
Claims:  Armando Bonilla--clerk for Garrett Brown (D-NJ), former prosecutor
Claims:  Carolyn Lerner--clerk for Julian Abele Cook (ED-MI), Chief Mediator, DC Circuit

The Federal Judiciary:

Supreme Court:  The court issued rulings in several high-profile cases.  It upheld Obamacare on a 7-2 vote denying the plaintiffs had standing.  It upheld the religious liberty of a Catholic adoption agency in Philadelphia, though on very narrow grounds.  It protected the right of farms to not be invaded by union activists.  It upheld Arizona's election laws on a 6-3 vote.

Supreme Court:  The court has reversed the 9th Circuit many times this term, sometimes unanimously.

Supreme Court:  The court has employees who clip articles and tweets about the court.  Ed Whelan wonders why.

Trump judges:  Trump-appointed judges have blocked many of President Biden's attempts to impose his policies by executive order.

Court reform:  President Biden’s Supreme Court commission held its first meeting, which was either mostly about court packing, or mostly avoided the issue, depending which news article you believe.  Many ideas from limiting judicial review to term limits were discussed.  The commission is only tasked with studying issues, not making recommendations.

Term limits:  Ramesh Ponnuru argues that Supreme Court term limits would not help progressives.

2nd Circuit:  Senior Judge Robert Katzmann died of cancer on June 9 at age 68.  He was appointed by Clinton in 1999 and took senior status in 2021.  He was a feeder judge who sent many clerks to the Supreme Court.

SD-CA:  Judge Roger Benitez has attracted the scorn of anti-gun activists and CNN (but I repeat myself) for his rulings in favor of gun rights.  He has seemingly managed to hear every challenge to California's strict gun laws.  Benitez is a senior judge and Cuban refugee appointed by W in 2004.

D-SD:  Senior Judge Charles Kornmann threw a fit when several US marshalls refused to disclose whether they had received the COVID vaccine.  He claimed they kidnapped three defendants after he ordered the marshalls to leave the courtroom.  He is attempting to charge them with obstruction of justice, saying of the marshalls that "As it stands now, they could well be the most dangerous people in the courtroom".

Vacancy Declarations:  There are now 109 current and future judicial vacancies.  All appeals courts except the 3rd and 8th have vacancies.  New vacancies over the past month are listed below.
D-WY: Nancy Freudenthal (Obama) 6/1/22 (senior)
ED-VA: John Gibney (Obama) 11/1 (senior)
D-PR: Francisco Besosa (W) 1/1/22 (senior)
ND-OK: John Dowdell (Obama) 6/21 (senior/certified disability)

State Supreme Courts:

Districts:  Several states are considering changing state supreme court districts.  Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker signed a map that would make two seats friendlier to Ds.  Montana put an amendment on the ballot to create judicial districts.  In Louisiana, the bill to add two seats to the Louisiana Supreme Court and redraw the districts failed to get the necessary 2/3 vote in the state house.

Georgia:  The Judicial Nominating Commission sent Governor Kemp a list of six nominees to succeed Chief Justice Harold Melton.  At least three of the six are black.  Melton is currently the only black judge on the court.

Idaho:  Governor Brad Little appointed Idaho deputy attorney general Colleen Zahn to the vacant seat on the Idaho Supreme Court.

Montana:  The Montana Supreme Court upheld a law eliminating the judicial nominating commission by a 6-1 vote.  The battle over the law led to hard feelings by justices upset that the legislature was insufficiently deferential to their authority.

New Mexico:  New Mexico Supreme Court justice Barbara Vigil will retire June 30.  Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham will get her fourth appointment to the five-member court.

New York:  The state senate confirmed Governor Andrew Cuomo's nominations to fill vacancies on the New York Court of Appeals.  They are Nassau County DA Madeline Singas (D) and Justice Anthony Cannataro, who manages the NYC Civil Courts.

Ohio:  Ohio Supreme Court Justice Jennifer Brunner (D) is running for chief justice.  She was elected in 2020, and was previously Ohio SOS.  R Justices Pat DeWine and Sharon Kennedy are also considering running.

Ohio:  The Ohio house passsed a bill to list the party of Ohio Supreme Court and appeals courts candidates on the general election ballot.  Governor DeWine plans to sign the bill.

Oklahoma:  The Oklahoma Judicial Nominating Commission announced three finalists for the Oklahoma Supreme Court seat vacated by Tom Colbert.  They are Oklahoma Court of Criminal Appeals Judges Dana Kuehn and Stacie Hixon and Tulsa County District Judge Rebecca Nightingale.  Governor Kevin Stitt will get his third appointment to the court.

Numbers and Trivia:

Minorities:  Ed Whelan points out that minorities are overrepresented in the judiciary relative to the number who have law degrees, and in some cases even relative to the overall population.

Feeder judges:  A feeder judge is a judge whose clerks frequently go on to clerk for the Supreme Court.  The most common D feeder judges over the past decade (Garland and Katzmann) have recently left the judiciary.  Two others (Tatel and Fletcher) have are taking senior status this year.  It isn't clear who will succeed them, though Sri Srinivasan (DC Circuit) is likely to be one.

Retirements (Carter):  When did appeals court judges appointed by Jimmy Carter retire?  By retire, I mean leave active status, that is resign, retire, take senior status, or die in office.  All 56 Carter appointees have left active status.  Here are the numbers.

4 (7%) resigned early
16 (29%) retired when eligible (within 1st year)
31 (55%) retired later
(9%) died in office

24 (43%) retired under R president
32 (57%) retired under D president
5 (9%) retired in first year of D president

Carter only had 12 appointees in his first two years, but he had 44 in his last two years after a court expansion bill was passed.  The appointees in the last two years seem more liberal than those in the first two years.

Resources:

Thursday, June 24, 2021

Michigan State Senate Debunks Election Conspiracies

The Michigan state senate oversight committee issued a report on the 2020 election in Michigan.

Report on the November 2020 Election in Michigan

The report debunks many common claims of voter fraud and conspiracy theories concerning the 2020 election.  It also identifies some problems with the way the election was administered and suggests some improvements to the election system.  Some highlights of the report include:

  • "This Committee found no evidence of widespread or systematic fraud in Michigan’s prosecution of the 2020 election."
  • Most claims of dead people voting were false. "There were two claims of deceased individuals casting votes that were found to be true; one was a clerical error while the other was a timing issue."
  • The false claim by the Voter Integrity Project of "289,866 illegal votes" cast was an extrapolation from a small sample of people who confused absentee ballots with absentee ballot applications.
  • Vote counting in Detroit was a mess, and many involved were confused (including Republican observers), but there is no indication of mass voter fraud.
  • In Antrim County, the initially reported unofficial results were wrong, but the initial tabulator tapes reported correct results.  A hand recount verified that this count was correct.
  • "If the losing party had been so confident of any of these cyber attack theories or software-based vote switching, simply asking for several hand recounts or re-tabulations in the various precincts would have demonstrated a genuine hack had happened and that there was necessity for additional recounts and investigations."
  • An audit was conducted of selected precincts and races in each county in Michigan.

Tuesday, June 01, 2021

June 2021 Judiciary News

Don't tire, Breyer!

Nominations, Hearings, Confirmations:

Diversity:  President Biden's first 20 judicial nominees embody the left's idea of diversity.  All of them are on the left, and none of them is a white male.

D-CO:  Colorado's senators have recommended three candidates, Kenzo Kawanabe, Charlotte Sweeney and Nina Wang, for a future vacancy on the district court.

SD-FL:  The applicants for the two vacancies on SD-FL were be interviewed by the congressional judicial nominating commission, which later announced its finalists.  The congressional JNC was established by Rep. Wasserman-Schultz and is not authorized by Senators Scott or Rubio.

Judiciary Committee:  Shockingly, Senate Ds seem not to be running the Judiciary Committee by the standards they demanded it run by when Rs ran the committee.

Nominations:
TBD

Senate Judiciary Committee hearings:
TBD

The Federal Judiciary:

Breyer:  Ds are worried they might not be able to fill a vacancy on the Supreme Court.

Supreme Court:  Carrie Severino surveys the left's attempts to intimidate the Supreme Court through threats of court packing.

Supreme Court:  The Supreme Court will hear an appeal on Mississippi's law that bans abortion after 15 weeks (with the usual exceptions).  The case could be a vehicle to overturn Roe v. Wade, though more likely it will just be rolled back somewhat.

Court reform:  President Biden’s Supreme Court commission held its first meeting on May 19.  It has six months from that date to study changes to the judiciary.

4th Circuit:  Virginia's D senators have recommended U.S. District Court judges Arenda Allen and M. Hannah Lauck and Virginia Solicitor General Toby Heytens for the open seat on the 4th Circuit.

9th Circuit:  Ed Whelan observes that conservatives on the 9th Circuit have had some success in getting en banc review of bad panel decisions.

11th Circuit:  Retired judge Joseph W. Hatchett died on April 30.  He joined the Florida Supreme Court  in 1975. He was appointed to the Fifth Circuit by Carter in 1979. He transferred to the Eleventh Circuit in 1981.  He was Chief Judge from 1996 until his retirement in 1999.

Vacancy Declarations:  There are now 112 current and future judicial vacancies.  The 18 appeals court vacancies are on the 1st (1), 2nd (3), 4th (1), 5th (1), 6th (1), 7th (1), 9th (4), 10th (2), 11th (1), DC (2), and Federal (1).  New vacancies over the past month are listed below.
9th Circuit: Richard Paez (Clinton) TBD (senior)
ED-VA: Anthony Trenga (W) 6/1 (senior)
5th Circuit: James Dennis (Clinton) TBD (senior)
MD-PA: John E. Jones III (W) XX (retired)
D-PR: Gustavo Gelpí (W) TBD (nominated to 1st Circuit)
9th Circuit: William Fletcher (Clinton) TBD (senior)
11th Circuit: Beverly Martin (Obama) 9/30 (retired)
6th Circuit: Bernice Donald (Obama) XX (senior)

State Supreme Courts:

Alaska:   The Alaska Judicial Council has selected three finalists for a seat on the Alaska Supreme Court being vacated by Joel Bolger.  They are Superior Court Judges Dani Crosby, Jennifer Stuart Henderson and Yvonne Lamoureux, who were all appointed to the Superior Court by left-leaning independent Gov. Bill Walker.   All three of them were finalists for the previous vacancy in 2020.  Another candidate, who was supporeted by Governor Dunleavy's appointees on the council, was eliminated after Bolger voted not to nominate him.

Arizona:  The Arizona Commission on Appellate Court Appointments nominated seven candidates for the open seat on the Arizona Supreme Court vacated by Andrew Gould.  Four candidates are Rs, two are independents, and one is a libertarian. Governor Doug Ducey will appoint one of them.

Illinois:  The D-controlled legislature has proposed new maps for the Illinois Supreme Court.  The map has not been updated since the 1960s, but a more proximate cause for the proposal is the defeat of a D judge in a 2020 retention election.  That seat will be open in 2022, along with a seat held by an R who was appointed to fill a vacancy.  The proposed new map makes both seats more friendly to Ds.

Maine:  Governor Janet Mills nominated Superior Court Justice Valerie Stanfill, age 63, to become chief justice of the Maine Supreme Court.  The seat has been vacant for over a year, since Chief Justice Leigh Saufley stepped down.

Missouri:  Governor Mike Parson appointed Missouri Eastern District Court of Appeals judge Robin Ransom to fill he Missouri Supreme Court seat vacated by Laura Denvir Stith.  Ransom will be the court's first black female justice.  The other candidates nominated by the Appellate Judicial Commission were Missouri Southern District Court of Appeals judge Donald E. Burrell Jr. and 21st Judicial Circuit judge William M. Corrigan Jr.

New York:  Governor Andrew Cuomo has made nominations to fill vacancies on the New York Court of Appeals.  They are Nassau County DA Madeline Singas (D) and Justice Anthony Cannataro, who manages the NYC Civil Courts.  The state senate has until June 10 to consider the nominations, which it might not due to Cuomo's scandals and possible impeachment trial.

Pennsylvania:  Commonwealth Court Judge Kevin Brobson won the R primary for an open Supreme Court seat with 53%.  Commonwealth Court Judge Patricia McCullough had 32%.  Brobson will face Superior Court Judge Maria McLaughlin (D) in the November 2 general election.

Numbers and Trivia:

Here are the numbers of senior status declarations/retirements for federal judges (circuit judges) for the past few months.
1 (0) December
20 (3) January
19 (3) February
8 (3) March
7 (1) April
8 (5) May

2020 Election:  The Juris Lab has some data on lawsuits related to the 2020 election.

Resources:

Tuesday, May 11, 2021

2021 Kalamazoo Election Preview

This article was last updated October 26, 2021.

This is a preview of the November 2 elections in Kalamazoo County.

Kalamazoo City Commission

The mayor and three seats on the Kalamazoo City Commission are up for election. The seven commissioners are Mayor David Anderson (on since 2005, mayor since 2019), Patrese Griffin (2019), Erin Knott (2015), Jack Urban (2013), Eric Cunningham (2017), Jeanne Hess (2019), and Chris Praedel (2019).

In 2014, Kalamazoo voters passed a charter amendment changing the charter by electing the mayor separately and implementing staggered four-year terms for the other seats (similar to the system Portage uses).  In 2019, Griffin, Hess, and Praedel got four-year terms.  The other three seats were up in 2017.

Mayor Anderson, a center-left democrat, will run for reelection.  He defeated David Benac, a Bernie Sanders fan, in 2019.  Commissioner/Vice Mayor Patrese Griffin announced for mayor, and resigned to run.  However, due to a campaign finance error, she could appear on the ballot and dropped out.  Benjamin Stanley is also running for mayor.

Cunningham, Knott, and Urban will not run again.  Former commissioner Don Cooney (1997-2019), a Bernie-style leftist, is seeking to return to the commission.  Other candidates include community organizer Marshall Kilgore, Alphonso Harris, Qianna Decker, Steven Chandler, Stephanie Hoffman, activist Esteven Juarez (who ran for mayor in 2019), and James Mitchell.

Portage City Council

The mayor and three seats on the Portage City Council are up for election.  Patricia Randall was elected mayor in 2017 after serving on the council since 2009.  She is unopposed this year, as she was in 2019.

The other councilmembers are Terry Urban (1997), Claudette Reid (2005), Jim Pearson (2011), Lori Knapp (2017), Chris Burns (2017), and Vic Ledbetter (2020).  Vic Ledbetter filled a seat vacated by the resignation of Richard Ford.

The three seats up for 4-year terms are held by Urban, Reid, and Knapp.  Reid is retiring.  Urban and Ledbetter are running for these seats.  Also running is Lisa Brayton, a Republican who lost a close race for county commission in 2020.

There will be an election for a 2-year term for the seat held by Vic Ledbetter.  The candidates are Lori Knapp and Tara Gish.

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Is Third Party Vote Dropoff Evidence of Voter Fraud?

Stu Cvrk at RedState has yet another article promoting voter fraud conspiracy theories.  He claims that the drop in third party and write-in votes between 2016 and 2020 is evidence of voter fraud.  In particular, he claims that voting machines were programmed to declare third party votes needed adjudication, and then election officials declared these votes to be for Biden.

There is nothing unusual about the third party vote declining when an incumbent is running for reelection.  Consider recent pairs of elections when an incumbent sought first an second terms.

5.7% 2016 -> 2.8% 2020
1.4% 2008 -> 1.7% 2012
3.7% 2000 -> 1.0% 2004
19.5% 1992 -> 10.1% 1996
1.0% 1988 -> 19.5% 1992
8.3% 1980 -> 0.6% 1984

Thus in the last 40 years, third party total declined four times and increased twice (once by a trivial amount).  This shouldn't be surprising.  When an incumbent runs for reelection, the election tends to become a referendum on the incumbent.  In 2016, many voters disliked both candidates, so they voted for third party candidates or write-ins as a protest.  In 2020, Trump won back some disgruntled conservatives, while many leftists and centrist rallied to Biden to defeat Trump.

Another relevant factor is the strength of the third party candidates.  In 2016, the Libertarian candidate was Gary Johnson, a former two-term governor of New Mexico.  In 2020, they ran an obscure adjunct professor who didn't make any impact.  Of course, the huge jump in 1992 is largely explained by Ross Perot, a billionaire who spent a fortune to run a credible national campaign.

Also arguing strongly against this theory is that the decline in third party votes happened in every state (and probably every county as well) between 2016 and 2020.  Were the vote counting machines corrupted everywhere, regardless of location and manufacturer?  Note that vote adjudication is a manual process, so rigging this would require crooked operatives in tens of thousands of vote counting locations all across the country.  And if they missed any of them, the third party vote totals would be wildly out of sync with the rest of the country.

These theories keep getting dumber and dumber.

Saturday, May 01, 2021

May 2021 Judiciary News

Mayday! Mayday!

Nominations, Hearings, Confirmations:

Diversity:  In President Biden's initial slate of judicial nominees, "nine of the eleven nominees are female, five are African American, three are Asian American—I’m including one who is Arab American (as well as Muslim)—and one is Latina".  Naturally, Latino groups are attacking the administration for not caring about them.

Diversity:  "A Biden Judge Would Be the First-Ever Muslim on the Federal Bench. Some Muslims Are Furious" due to his work for ICE and the US military during the Iraq War.

Nominations:
WD-WA: David Estudillo--Grant County Superior Court judge
WD-WA: Tana Lin--trial lawyer
D-NJ: Christine O’Hearn--trial lawyer

Senate Judiciary Committee hearings:
TBD

The Federal Judiciary:

Court packing:  Several progressive Ds in Congress introduced legislation to pack the Supreme Court, adding four seats.  There is essentially no nonpartisan argument for the change, as explained by Thomas Jipping.

Commission:  President Biden has appointed a commission on the Supreme Court.  Josh Blackman notes that about 2/3 of the members are on the left, and 1/3 are on the center or right.  The commission is tasked with surveying arguments on the issue but not to make recommendations, which suggests that Biden is not planning to pack the Supreme Court.

Breyer:  Justice Breyer came out against packing the Supreme Court in a speech at Harvard Law School.  He argued that it would undermine the legitimacy of the Supreme Court.  Get ready for progressives to declare Breyer a white supremacist.

Breyer:  Justice Breyer hired a full slate of four clerks for next year, leading observers such as David Lat to believe that it is likely he will not retire.  Retiring justices often, but not always, hire fewer than four clerks when they are planning to retire.

Chief Judges:  Jacob Finkel claims Trump appointees to circuit courts were picked so that several Trump appointees will become chief judge in the future.  Of course, it could just be that somewhat older candidates had the inside track on the first appointments.  He also speculates without evidence that Trump-appointed chief judges will manipulate 3-judge panels to help their preferred policy outcomes.

Vacancy Declarations:  There are now 106 current and future judicial vacancies.  The 13 appeals court vacancies are on the 1st (1), 2nd (3), 4th (1), 7th (1), 9th (2), 10th (2), DC (2), and Federal (1).  New vacancies over the past month are listed below.
SD-NY: Colleen McMahon (Clinton) 4/10 (senior)
9th Circuit: Marsha Berzon (Clinton) TBD (senior)
D-UT: David Nuffer (Obama) 4/2/22 (senior)
ED-PA: Petrese Tucker (Clinton) 6/1 (senior)
D-DC: Ketanji Brown Jackson (Obama) TBD (elevated)
Claims: Lydia Griggsby (Obama) TBD (elevated)
ED-CA: John Mendez (W) 4/17/22 (senior)

State Supreme Courts:

Idaho:  The Idaho Judicial Council selected 3 applicants for seat on the Idaho Supreme Court being vacated by Justice Roger Burdick.  They are Idaho Court of Appeals judge Jessica Lorello, 
magistrate judge Diane Walker, and Idaho deputy attorney general Colleen Zahn.

Louisiana:  The Louisiana state senate passed a bill to increase the Louisiana Supreme Court from seven to nine seats, and to force redrawing of the Supreme Court districts each decade to reflect population shifts.  The bill passed by a bipartisan 36-2 vote.

Michigan:  Justice Richard Bernstein (D) has been working from Dubai for the past three months.  He is up for re-election next year.  State rep. Beau LaFave (R) commented, "Having enough privilege to leave Michigan, where you voted to let the Governor become a dictator, move to a proper dictatorship, continue ruling on cases, and keep getting paid, is the real Bernstein Advantage."

Missouri:  There are 25 applicants for the Missouri Supreme Court seat vacated by Laura Denvir Stith.  The Appellate Judicial Commission will begin interviewing candidates on May 19.

Montana:  Montana's new law eliminating the judicial nominating commission is being challenged in court.  Chief Justice Mike McGrath recused himself.  There was an organized effort to get lower court judges to take positions on the bill, including the judge who would have replaced McGrath.  The legislature issued a subpoena for the communications of the organizer of the effort.  The Supreme Court tried to quash the subpoena, but the attorney general refused to respect the ruling.

Ohio:  The state senate passed a bill to list the partisan affiliations of Supreme Court candidates in the general election.  Currently candidates run in partisan primaries but the general election is nonpartisan.  The Ohio Supreme Court has a 4 R 3 D breakdown.

Pennsylvania:  Commonwealth Court Judge Kevin Brobson has been endorsed by the NRA and GOA.  The other GOP candidates for an open Supreme Court seat, Philadelphia Court of Common Pleas Judge Paula Patrick, and Commonwealth Court Judge Patricia McCullough, are also courting pro-gun voters.  The primary is May 18, and the winner will face Superior Court Judge Maria McLaughlin (D) in the November 2 general election.

Wisconsin:  R candidates picked up two seats on the Wisconsin Court of Appeals in the April 6 election.  In district 2, Shelley Grogan won 56-44 over incumbent Jeffrey Davis, who was appointed to replace Brian Hagedorn.  In district 3, Gregory Gill defeated Rick Cveykus 55-45 for the seat of retiring judge Mark Seidl.

Numbers and Trivia:

As of May 23, Jeffrey Sutton will be the Chief Judge of the 6th Circuit, taking over from R. Guy Cole. Cole was appointed by Clinton.  Sutton clerked for Scalia.  He was appointed by W in 2003, and is a feeder judge.

As of May 24, Kimberly Ann Moore will be the Chief Judge of the Federal Circuit, taking over from Sharon Proust. Moore was appointed by W in 2001 and Proust by W in 2006. 

The Presidents who appointed chief judges of the 13 appeals courts will be Clinton (4, 9), W (1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, Fed), and Obama (DC).

Here are the numbers of senior status declarations/retirements for the past few months.
1 December
20 January
19 February
8 March
7 April

History:

Court Packing:  Carrie Severino surveys statements by Senate Ds opposing court packing.  We shall see whether these statements have expiration dates.

Retirements:  Joan Biskupic reviews the history of presidents encouraging Supreme Court justices to retire.

Resources:

Sunday, April 11, 2021

The Facts about 2020 Election Lawsuits

One stumbling block to claims of voter fraud in the 2020 election is the large number of court rulings against lawsuits making such claims.  Some proponents of these theories have tried to argue that no judges actually examined the merits of these claims, but this is false.

A recent RedState article by Stu Cvrk takes a different tack, arguing that Trump and his allies actually won many election lawsuits.  It points to an interesting database of such lawsuits.

2020 US Presidential Election Related Lawsuits

The article and database try to spin the results as favorably for Trump as possible, but they omit a few pertinent observations.  Most of the wins are in the category of "rules", one in "process", and one "miscellaneous".  None of the wins involve vote counting machines or other voter fraud.

Changes to election laws and policies that occurred shortly before the election are a legitimate issue, though often overstated.  Many of these changes were reversed prior to the election.

All but one of the wins in cases filed by Trump and his allies occurred before the election or the next day.  Only one occurred later.  The time to challenge these changes was before the election, not after.  Overturning the election based on policies that weren't challenged before the election was never going to happen.

Thursday, April 01, 2021

April 2021 Judiciary News

Happy liberal judges day!

Nominations, Hearings, Confirmations:

Garland:  The Senate approved Merrick Garland as Attorney General by a 70-30 vote.  The Senate Judiciary Committee previously him by a 15-7 vote.  His seat on the DC Circuit is now open for President Biden to fill.

DC Circuit:  President Biden has nominated judge Ketanji Brown Jackson to the DC Circuit.  According to Ed Whelan, Jackson has a "middling reputation" for competence.  He lists several times she was overturned by D-appointed judges on the DC Circuit.

Blue slip:  Florida house Ds, apparently led by Debbie Wasserman Schultz and impeached former federal judge Alcee Hastings, are trying to set up a judicial selection commission with the goal of bypassing Florida's R senators.  Senator Rick Scott is firmly opposing the effort.

D-NV:  Nevada's senators are planning to recommend Judge Jennifer Togliatti for a seat on the Nevada district court.  She was previously nominated by President Trump in 2019.  Her nomination was approved by the Judiciary Committee 15-7 (with conservatives in opposition) and she did not receive a final vote.

Nominations:
DC Circuit: Ketanji Brown Jackson--clerk for Breyer, Judge (D-DC)
7th Circuit: Candace Jackson-Akiwumi--clerk for Roger Gregory (4th Circuit)
Federal Circuit: Tiffany Cunningham--clerk for Timothy Dyk (Federal Circuit)
D-MD: Deborah Boardman--Magistrate Judge
D-MD: Lydia Kay Griggsby--Judge (Claims)
D-DC: Florence Pan--clerk for Ralph Winter (2nd Circuit), Judge (DC Superior Court)
D-NJ: Julien Neals--Acting County Administrator for Bergen County
D-NJ: Zahid Quraishi--Magistrate Judge
D-CO: Regina Rodriguez--AUSA
D-NM: Margaret Strickland--trial lawyer

Senate Judiciary Committee hearings:
TBD

The Federal Judiciary:

2nd Circuit:  Judge Peter Hall of the 2nd Circuit died of cancer on March 11 at age 72.  He had not heard cases since August, and took senior status on March 4.  He was a moderate to liberal Vermont R who was appointed by W in 2004 after being the US attorney for Vermont.

8th Circuit:  Former Judge Kermit Bye of the 8th Circuit (ND) died on March 20 at age 84.  He was appointed by Clinton in 2000, took senior status in 2015, and retired in 2016.

10th Circuit:  This circuit now has an even split of R and D appointees, due to D appointees Carlos Lucero and Mary Briscoe taking senior status.  Of course, this split isn't likely to last very long.

Judicial conference:  The US Judicial Conference has its annual recommendations for new judgeships.  It is recommending two new judgeships for the 9th Circuit, down from five in previous years.  They are also recommending the addition of 77 new district judges, including 30 in California, 12 in Texas, and 11 in Florida.  They also recommend converting 9 temporary judgeships to permanent.

Judicial workload:  Ed Whelan is skeptical of the need for new appellate judges on the 9th Circuit.

Judicial vacancies:  Ed Whelan asks why there has been a relatively small number of appellate vacancies announced since Joe Biden took office.  He cites parochial reasons including judges' roles on 3-judge and en banc panels.

Vacancy Declarations:  There are now 100 current and future judicial vacancies.  The 12 appeals court vacancies are on the 1st (1), 2nd (3), 4th (1), 7th (1), 9th (1), 10th (2), DC (2), and Federal (1).  New vacancies over the past month are listed below.
SD-NY: George Daniels (Clinton) 5/1 (senior)
D-CO: Richard Jackson (Obama) 9/30 (senior)
2nd Circuit: Peter Hall (W) 3/4 (senior)
DC Circuit: Merrick Garland (Clinton) 3/10 (confirmed AG)
D-MA: William Young (Reagan) 6/1 (senior)
Federal Circuit: Evan Wallach (Obama) 5/31 (senior)
Trade: Timothy Stanceu (W) 4/5 (senior)
SD-IA: John Alfred Jarvey (W) 3/18/22 (retired)

State Supreme Courts:

Arizona:  Arizona Supreme Court Justice Andrew Gould will retire from the court on April 1.  He is expected to run for Attorney General, as AG Mark Brnovich is term-limited.  Gould was appointed by Governor Doug Ducey in 2016.  Ducey will get to make his sixth appointment to the court.

Idaho:  Nine attorneys have applied for the seat on the Idaho Supreme Court being vacated by Justice Roger Burdick.  The Idaho Judicial Council will select 2-4 applicants for Governor Brad Little to select from.

Maine:  As of April 14, a seat on Maine Supreme Judicial Court will have been open for one year.  Governor Janet Mills has yet to name a new chief justice to replace Leigh Saufley, who left to become Dean of the University of Maine School of Law.

Montana:  Governor Greg Gianforte signed a bill to make judicial appointments directly without a nominating commission.  Judges will still have to contest the next general election after their appointment.

New Jersey:  Governor Phil Murphy will nominate Rachel Wainer Apter, age 40, an ACLU attorney and Ginsburg clerk to the New Jersey Supreme Court.  She would replace Justice Jaynee LaVecchia, who will retire August 31.

New York:  Justice Paul Feinman retired on March 23 and died 8 days later.  There are two other impending vacancies due to the retirements of Leslie Stein on June 4 and Eugene Fahey on December 31.  All three were appointed by Andrew Coumo.  Coumo can nominate successors, though his legal troubles may make it harder to confirm them.

Oklahoma:  Eight individuals have applied for the open seat on the Oklahoma Supreme Court, District 6 (Congressional District 1).  The Judicial Nominating Commission will interview the candidates.

Pennsylvania:  The GOP candidates for the open Supreme Court seat are Commonwealth Court Judge Kevin Brobson, Philadelphia Court of Common Pleas Judge Paula Patrick, and Commonwealth Court Judge Patricia McCullough.  The primary is May 18, and the winner will face Superior Court Judge Maria McLaughlin (D) in the November 2 general election.

Numbers and Trivia:

The ages of the circuit judges who have taken senior status under Biden are 67, 66, 71, 71, 80, 73, 68, 78, 71.

Resources: