Cross-posted at The Western Right, Right Michigan, and RRH Elections.
All 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives will be up for election in November. Republicans won a 63-47 majorities in 2014 and 2016, and a reduced 58-42 margin in 2018. There are 25 open seats, 12 held by Republicans and 13 held by democrats. There are 22 open due to term-limits, 1 just due to seeking another office, 1 due to death, and 1 pure retirement.
Democrats are hoping to take control of the state house. They may benefit from anti-Trump enthusiasm.
In 2014 and 2016, there were many contests between moderate and conservative factions in the house GOP, won by the conservatives narrowly in 2014 and more decisively in 2016. These battles died down in 2018, and conservative Jason Wentworth is the presumptive next house GOP leader. There are still likely to be some ideological battles.
Republican Michigander has a profile of the Michigan state house focusing more on district demographics.
The following lists district number, current incumbent, geographic description, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018 state house results, 2012 Romney %, 2016 Trump % (if known), and political rating. Candidates who filed a reporting waiver, indicating that they will not raise more than $1000 (and hence are not serious) are typically omitted. The complete candidate list and recent fundraising numbers are available here:
2020 Michigan Primary Candidate List
July 2020 Michigan State House Fundraising
1. (Tenisha Yancey) [Detroit] 29-71, 31-69, 32-68, 25-73, R23.5%, Safe D
2. (Joe Tate) [Detroit] 26-72, 33-67, 28-72, 27-73, 23.8%, Safe D
(D) Ex-Marine Joe Tate won in 2018 based on support from the suburban Grosse Pointes. He is being challenged in the primary by legislative staffer Latricia Lanier.
3. (OPEN-Wendell Byrd) [Detroit] 3-96, 3-97, 3-97, 3-97, 1.6%, Safe D
(D) There are eight candidates for this open seat. Most notable is former 2018 governor candidate and self-funding businessman Shri Thanedar, who has spent $438,000 of his own money. Al Williams has union support but refuses to file campaign finance reports.
4. (OPEN-Isaac Robinson) [Detroit] 5-95, 5-95, 5-95, 5-95, 3.4%, Safe D
(D) Rep. Isaac Robinson, who succeeded his mother in 2018, died of the coronavirus in 2020. An incredible 13 D candidates are running for this seat in the general, and 11 in the concurrent special election. (Four others dropped out.) Hamtramck city commissioner Abraham Aiyash narrowly lost a state senate race in 2018. Housing advocate Michele Oberholtzer and Delorean Holmes, a staffer for former state senator Ian Conyers (16-18), also have solid fundraising.
5. (Cynthia Johnson) [Detroit] 6-94, 5-95, 7-93, 6-93, 2.7%, Safe D
(D) Radio broadcaster Cynthia Johnson has two primary challengers.
6. (Tyrone Carter) [Detroit] 5-92, 6-94, 7-93, 9-91, 5.3%, Safe D
(D) This district has a strong claim to be the most diverse in Michigan, and has successively had black, Hispanic, Jewish, Muslim, Chinese, and black representatives. This year, Rep. Tyrone Carter has two primary challengers, including realtor David Palmer.
7. (OPEN-LaTanya Garrett) [Detroit] 2-98, 2-98, 2-98, 2-98, 0.9%, Safe D
(D) Seven candidates are seeking the D nomination. Helena Scott is a staffer to Garrett.
8. (OPEN-Sherry Gay-Dagnogo) [Detroit] 3-97, 3-97, 4-96, 4-96, 2%, Safe D
(D) Four candidates are seeking the D nomination. George Etheridge is a Legislative Policy Analyst for the Detroit City Council. Activist Stephanie Young and radio host Reggie Davis are also running.
9. (Karen Whitsett) [Detroit] 5-95, 4-96, 6-94, 5-95, 3.3%, Safe D
(D) Community organizer Karen Whitsett was first elected in 2018. She made headlines after calling the house D leader racist and praising President Trump after recovering from coronavirus. She was condemned by the 13th district Ds, who have endorsed Roslyn Ogburn. Two other challengers are Marc Cummings and Nicole Elcock. Whitsett is likely to face a tough fight for renomination, but is helped by facing multiple challengers.
10. (OPEN-Leslie Love) [Detroit] 14-86, 18-82, 15-82, 14-84, 16.4%, Safe D
(D) Eight candidates are seeking the D nomination. Mary Cavanagh, who I think is the daughter of rep Phil Cavanagh (10-14), graduated from college last year.
11. (Jewell Jones) [Inkster, Garden City] 28-72, 30-70, 36-64, 33-67, R29.3%, T34.8%, Safe D
12. (OPEN-Erika Geiss) [Taylor, Romulus] 25-75, 30-70, 33-67, 33-67, R29.5%, T38.9%, Safe D
(D) Former Taylor councilman Alex Garza faces two challengers in the D primary.
13. (OPEN-Frank Liberati) [Southgate, Allen Park, Dearborn Heights] 35-65, 39-61, 39-61, 37-63, R40.3%, T46.7%, Safe D
(D) Tullio Liberati, younger brother of the incumbent, is the leading fundraiser. The other D candidates are Southgate councilman Bill Colovos and businessman Timothy Estheimer.
14. (Cara Clemente) [Riverview, Wyandotte, Lincoln Park, Melvindale] 26-71, 30-70, 36-64, 36-64, R34.9%, T44.3%, Safe D
15. (Abdullah Hammoud) [Dearborn] 25-75, 32-68, 38-62, 31-69, R33.5%, T31%, Safe D
16. (Kevin Coleman) [Westland, Wayne] 28-68, 32-68, 36-64, 33-67, R33.3%, T38.7%, Safe D
17. (Joe Bellino) [N Monroe, Sumpter, Huron] 39-61, 40-60, 52.2-44.3, 56-44, R45.3%, T56.3%, Safe R
Republican Joseph Bellino pulled off a shocking upset in 2016 in the district that has moved right. The D nominee will be Christopher Slat.
18. (Kevin Hertel) [St. Clair Shores, Eastpointe] 34-64, 38-62, 37-63, 37-63, R40.7%, T44.9%, Safe D
19. (Laurie Pohutsky) [Livonia] 60-40, 62-38, 61-39, 49.8-50.2, R52%, T51.1%, Tossup
(R) Three R candidates are seeking the nomination to face Laurie Pohutsky, who took this long-Republican seat in 2018. Penny Crider, district director for senator Pat Colbeck, is the most conservative and raised the most money. Teacher Martha Ptashnik has the most establishment support. Legislative assistant Regina Gargus is also running.
20. (Matt Koleszar) [Plymouth, Northville] 56-44, 60-40, 53.6-46.4, 48.6-51.4, R51.8%, T45.7%, Lean D
(R) Marine veteran John Lacny leads in fundraising and endorsements. Business owner Laura Rouch is also running for this seat that flipped in 2018.
21. (OPEN-Kristy Pagan) [Canton, Van Buren] 38-62, 45-55, 41-59, 38-62, R43.3%, Safe D
(D) Chrysler employee Ranjeev Puri has raised the most and has Pagan's endorsement. Community organizer Ethan Petzold is also running.
(R) Five Rs are seeking this seat, but none have raised much money.
22. (OPEN-John Chirkun) [Roseville, E Warren] 30-70, 32-64, 35-60, 34-62, R36.2%, Safe D
(D) Roseville City Clerk Rich Steenland has the best fundraising. Union organizer Ryan Nelson and Michael Anderson are also running.
23. (Darin Calmilleri) [SE Wayne] 50.5-49.5, 52.1-47.9, 49.7-50.3, 44-56, R47.5%, T53.8%, Safe D
24. (Steve Marino) [Harrison, N Clinton, SW Macomb] 54.7-45.3, 59-39, 55-45, 56-44, R47.5%, T56%, Safe R
25. (Nate Shannon) [E Sterling Heights, NC Warren] 48.6-51.4, 46.5-53.5, 46-54, 46-54, R47.8%, T52.5%, Lean D
(R) Jazmine Early, Paul Smith, and Adam Wiley are seeking the nomination to take on Shannon in a seat that is always close, but never close enough. Early was the 2018 R nominee. Smith has raised the most, and Wiley has the most establishment support.
26. (Jim Ellison) [Royal Oak, Madison Heights] 36-60, 39-61, 41-59, 31-69, R40.3%, T37.5%, Safe D
27. (OPEN-Robert Whittenberg) [Oak Park, Ferndale, Hazel Park] 20-76, 24-76, 23-77, 19-79, R24.8%, T23.3%, Safe D
(D) Eight Ds are seeking this seat. Oak Park City Council Member Regina Weiss leads in fundraising. Attorney Kevin Kresch and social worker Matt Stoel also have good fundraising.
28. (Lori Stone) [W Warren, Center Line] 21-79, 36-64, 34-66, 34-63, R35.8%, Safe D
(D) Stone faces a primary challenge from William Massad after defeating the previous incumbent in the 2018 primary.
29. (Brenda Carter) [Pontiac, Auburn Hills, Orchard Lake] 23-77, 26-74, 25-71, 26-74, R23.9%, T26.7%, Safe D
30. (Diana Farrington) [W Sterling Heights, Utica, SE Shelby] 53.3-46.7, 55-45, 54-46, 57-43, R51.5%, T57.1%, Safe R
31. (William Sowerby) [S Clinton, Fraser, Mt. Clemens] 34-62, 39-61, 39-56, 40-60, R41.8%, T48.1%, Safe D
32. (Pamela Hornberger) [Chesterfield, C St. Clair] 59-41, 62-38, 64-36, 61-93, R53.9%, T64.5%, Safe R
33. (Jeff Yaroch) [NE Macomb, Macomb Twp.] 62-38, 66-34, 70-30, 65-35, R56.2%, T63.8%, Safe R
34. (Cynthia Neeley) [Flint] 13-87, 9-91, 11-89, 10-90, R8.3%, Safe D
(D) Cynthia Neeley won a special election to replace her husband Sheldon Neeley after he was elected mayor of Flint. She faces three poorly-funded primary challengers this time.
35. (Kyra Bolden) [Southfield] 17-83, 17-83, 16-84, 15-85, R17.6%, T15.7%, Safe D
(D) Bolden faces a fairly well-funded challenge from realtor Shadia Martini.
36. (Douglas Wozniak) [Shelby, Washington, Bruce] 64-36, 70-30, 72-28, 66-32, R61%, T65.7%, Safe R
37. (OPEN-Kristine Greig) [Farmington] 38-62, 43-57, 36-61, 33-67, R40.3%, T35.6%, Safe D
(D) Psychologist and Farmington Hills City Council member Randy Bruce has the best fundraising. Farmington Hills City Council member Samantha Steckloff is also well-funded. Michael Bridges is the third D candidate.
38. (OPEN-Kathy Crawford) [Novi, Lyon] 59-41, 63-37, 58-42, 49.4-48.1, R53.6%, T49.4%, Tossup
(R) Crawford barely survived a primary challenge from the right from activist Chase Turner in 2018. He is running again and has the RTL endorsement. Self-funding businessman Sreenivas Cherukuri and nurse Krista Spencer are also running.
(D) Attorney and Novi city councilmember Kelly Breen almost won last time. D activist Megan McAllister is also running.
39. (Ryan Berman) [W West Bloomfield, Commerce, Wixom] 53.3-46.7, 52.3-47.7, 50.4-42.2, 54-42, R51.5%, T50.4%, Lean R
Attorney and firearms instructor Ryan Berman beat a D candidate who was disavowed by their party in 2018. He faces D nurse Julia Pulver, who nearly won the 15th state senate district in 2018.
40. (Mari Manoogian) [Bloomfield, Birmingham, E West Bloomfield] 57-41, 58-42, 53.5-46.5, 43-57, R52.8%, T42.7%, Safe D
This upscale R district swung left in 2018, consistent with national trends. The R candidate will be Kendra Cleary.
41. (Padma Kuppa) [Troy, Clawson] 50.5-49.5, 56-44, 56-44, 48.7-51.3, R51.6%, T47%, Lean D
(R) Firefighter Evan Agnello has better fundraising and most establishment support. Construction manager Andrew Sosnoski is also running for this seat that flipped D in 2018.
42. (Ann Bollin) [SE Livingston] 63-33, 65-35, 64-32, 60-40, R60.2%, T59.3%, Safe R
43. (Andrea Schroder) [Waterford, Independence] 66-34, 58-42, 66-34, 57-43, R54.8%, T56.8%, Safe R
44. (Matt Maddock) [Springfield, White Lake, Highland, Milford] 63-33, 68-32, 69-31, 58-42, R59.1%, T60.6%, Safe R
Businessman, Tea Party leader and outspoken Trump supporter Matt Maddock won surprisingly easily in the 2018 primary. Denise Forrest is the D candidate.
45. (OPEN-Michael Webber) [Rochester, S Oakland Twp] 56-44, 56-44, 62-38, 55-45, R55.9%, T51.5%, Lean R
(R) Rochester Hills City Council member Mark Tisdell is unopposed for the R nomination in this historically conservative wealthy suburban seat.
(D) Rochester School Board member Barb Annes and former Congressional Aide Brendan Johnson are running.
46. (John Reilly) [NE Oakland] 64-36, 69-31, 69-31, 60-40, R60.1%, T61.1%, Safe R
47. (OPEN-Henry Vaupel) [N Livingston] 64-32, 69-27, 68-27, 66-34, R62.5%, T65.1%, Safe R
(R) Four Rs are seeking this seat. Livingston GOP chair Meghan Reckling has the best fundraisng. Reckling worked for Senator Lana Theis, who endorsed her, along with many people from the more conservative side of the party. Former Livingston County Sheriff Bob Bezotte has decent fundraising and plenty of support from the more establishment side of the party. Yvonne Black and township staffer Zachary Dyba are also running.
48. (Sheryl Kennedy) [NE Genesee] 36-64, 38-62, 46-54, 45-55, R39.8%, T51.8%, Lean D
(R) County commissioner David Martin has better fundraising and nearly unanimous endorsements. Radio host Sherri Cross is also running for this blue-collar Trump-friendly seat.
49. (John Cherry) [Flint Twp., Mt. Morris, SW Flint] 25-75, 26-74, 32-68, 28-72, R28.8%, Safe D
50. (Tim Sneller) [Burton, Grand Blanc, Mundy] 39-61, 41-59, 48-52, 43-57, R42.7%, T47.9%, Safe D
51. (Mike Mueller) [W Genesee, Fenton, NW Oakland] 54.3-45.7, 58-42, 61-34, 60-40, R53.1%, T59.1%, Safe R
52. (Donna Lasinski) [W Washtenaw] 47-53, 44-56, 44.7-52.2, 39-61, R47.5%, T42.5%, Safe D
Lasinski is expected to be the leader of the house Ds in the next session.
53. (Yousef Rabhi) [Ann Arbor] 19-81, 18-82, 16-80, 13-87, R19.5%, Safe D
54. (Ronnie Peterson) [Ypsilanti] 23-77, 25-75, 25-75, 21-79, R23.8%, T23.1%, Safe D
55. (OPEN-Rebekah Warren) [Pittsfield, NE Ann Arbor, York, Augusta] 32-65, 32-68, 31-69, 26-74, R31.6%, Safe D
(D) Rebekah Warren is finishing her third house term after two terms in the state senate. County Commissioner Felicia Brabec has massive fundraising. Stephen Kurant is also seeking the D nomination.
56. (OPEN-Jason Sheppard) [S Monroe] 58-42, 50.3-47.1, 58-39, 62-38, R50.6%, T59.2%, Safe R
(R) Bedford Township trustee TC Clements has nearly unanimous support here. Austin Blaine (age 19) is also running.
57. (Bronna Khale) [Lenawee] 52.5-47.5, 59-41, 56-44, 63-37, R49.9%, T57.2%, Safe R
58. (OPEN-Eric Leutheuser) [Branch, Hillsdale] 70-30, 71-29, 75-25, 71-29, R60.1%, T68.8%, Safe R
(R) Four people are seeking the R nomination. Attorney Andrew Fink has the best fundraising and most endorsements. Prosecutor and realtor Daren Wiseley seems to be the most conservative. Hillsdale Mayor Adam Stockford and farmer Andy Welden are also running.
59. (OPEN-Aaron Miller) [St. Joseph, E Cass] 62-38, 62-38, 67-33, 66-34, R54.7%, T62%, Safe R
(R) Five people are seeking the R nomination. They are St. Joseph county commissioner Allen Balog has the RTL endorsement but poor fundraising. Navy veteran Jack Coleman has raised the most, primarily self-funded. Legislative staffer Steve Carra, staffer to conservative rep Steve Johnson (16-P) is the most conservative and has raised the most from donors. Farmer Larry Walton has the Farm Bureau endorsement. Navy veteran and 2018 district 78 candidate Daniel Hinkle is also running.
60. (OPEN-Jon Hoadley) [Kalamazoo, Kalamazoo Twp.] 26-74, 30-70, 25-69, 23-77, R26.8%, T24%, Safe D
(D) County commissioners Stephanie Moore and Julie Rogers are seeking the D nomination. Moore is black, represents a poor urban district, and is something of a loose cannon. Rogers is the establishment favorite and has raised the most, but represents less of the district.
61. (OPEN-Brandt Iden) [Portage, Oshtemo, Texas, Schoolcraft, Prairie Ronde] 58-42, 48.4-42.7, 49.4-44.7, 51.4-48.6, R49.1%, T44.9%, Tossup
(R) Trump campaign aide Bronwyn Haltom has establishment support and a huge fundraising lead. IT specialist Tom Graham has the NRA endorsement.
(D) County commissioner Christine Morse, who flipped an R district in 2018, has big fundraising.
62. (Jim Haadsma) [Battle Creek, Albion, N Calhoun] 42-58, 51.2-48.8, 48-47.5, 48.2-51.8, R43.8%, T48.4%, Lean D
(R) Dave Morgan, former Calhoun D chairman and state house candidate turned R Pennfield Township Supervisor, is running again after narrowly losing in 2018. He has most establishment support. Also running are painter and felon Chad Baase and libertarian activist Michelle Gregoire.
63. (Matt Hall) [E Kalamazoo, S Calhoun] 50.9-49.1, 56-44, 61-33, 57-39, R54.6%, T57.5%, Safe R
GOP activist Matt Hall, an ardent Trump supporter, defeated a moderate incumbent in the 2018 R primary.
64. (Julie Alexander) [Jackson city, W Jackson] 56-44, 61-39, 63-37, 58-40, R51.2%, T54%, Safe R
65. (Sarah Lightner) [N Jackson, SE Eaton] 57-43, 57-40, 61-35, 59-38, R53.4%, T59.8%, Safe R
66. (Beth Griffin) [Van Buren, Cooper, Alamo, Parchment] 59-41, 57-43, 54.3-45.7, 57-43, R49.7%, T53.5%, Safe R
Mattawan Village Council member Abigail Wheeler is the D candidate in a seat that sometimes borders on competitive.
67. (Kara Hope) [S Ingham] 44-56, 46-54, 45.4-54.6, 44-54, R44.8%, T44.7%, Safe D
68. (Sarah Anthony) [Lansing] 23-77, 23-77, 22-73, 23-75, R24.6%, T24.1%, Safe D
69. (Julie Brixie) [East Lansing, Meridian] 35-65, 32-68, 32-68, 28-72, R35.9%, T28.9%, Safe D
70. (OPEN-James Lower) [Montcalm, N Gratiot] 54.5-45.5, 62-38, 63-32, 62-38, R52.6%, T61.8%, Safe R
(R) Lower announced a campaign for Congress but then decided to retire. Pat Outman, son of state senator Rick Outman, is endorsed by Lower and has the best fundraising. Postmaster and pastor Martin Ross has the RTL endorsement. Also running are blue collar worker Greg Alexander, teacher Christopher Comden, and lawyer Arturo Puckerin.
71. (Angela Witwer) [Eaton] 46.6-53.4, 50.4-49.6, 54-43, 49.2-50.8, R47.3%, T48.1%, Tossup
(R) Former Eaton County commissioner Christine Barnes, who narrowly lost in 2018, is running again. Businesswoman Gina Johnsen has big fundraising and some grassroots support.
72. (Steven Johnson) [Kentwood, Gaines, NE Allegan] 59-38, 68-32, 59-41, 54-43, R56.3%, T51.7%, Safe R
73. (OPEN-Lynn Afendoulis) [Grand Rapids Twp, Plainfield, NE Kent] 64-32, 68-32, 64-32, 60-40, R60.9%, T55.5%, Safe R
(R) Lynn Afendoulis is running for Congress after one term. Lawyer and former Kent GOP chairman John Inhulsen has big fundraising. Bryan Posthumus, brother of Kent County Clerk Lisa Posthumus Lyons, has the most establishment support. Businessman Robert Regan, who finished second in 2014 and 2018, is the most conservative and has some grassroots support.
74. (Mark Huizenga) [Grandville, Walker, Alpine, NW Kent] 66-34, 69-31, 64-31, 60-40, R60.4%, T58.8%, Safe R
75. (Dave LaGrand) [central Grand Rapids] 24-76, 26-74, 24-76, 19-78, R23.8%, Safe D
76. (Rachel Hood) [peripheral Grand Rapids] 39-52, 45.6-52.1, 39-57, 39-61, R44.2%, Safe D
77. (Tommy Brann) [Wyoming, Byron] 60-36, 67-33, 66-34, 60-37, R58.3%, T54.2%, Safe R
78. (Brad Paquette) [S Berrien, SW Cass] 61-39, 67-33, 68-32, 61-39, R56.1%, T58.9%, Safe R
79. (Pauline Wendzel) [N Berrien] 52.8-45.7, 59-39, 59-38, 56-44, R51.5%, T51.4%, Safe R
(R) Wendzel, a businesswoman who won a crowded primary in 2018, faces PR representative Jacquie Blackwell in the R primary.
80. (Mary Whiteford) [Allegan] 62-38, 63-34, 67-28, 64-36, R57.6%, T59.8%, Safe R
81. (Gary Eisen) [NW, E St. Clair] 53.8-46.2, 65-35, 69-31, 63-37, R55%, T65.6%, Safe R
(R) Firearms instructor Gary Eisen, won an eight-way primary in 2018. He faces a primary from John Mahaney, who finished seventh in 2018.
82. (Gary Howell) [Lapeer] 59-41, 55-45, 69-31, 70-30, R55.1%, T66.5%, Safe R
83. (OPEN-Shane Hernandez) [Sanilac, Port Huron] 56-44, 62-38, 63-34, 64-36, R52.5%, T60.8%, Safe R
(R) Hernandez is running for Congress. Sanilac County Drain Commissioner Greg Alexander has raised the most and has the RTL endorsement. Teacher/Tea Party leader Tim Keller is the most conservative candidate, and has endorsements from the local GOP establishment. Sanilac County Commissioner Joe O’Mara has self-funded a significant amount. Navy reservist Andrew Beeler has decent funding and endorsements from Devos-funded groups. Driver Charles Armstrong is also running.
84. (Phil Green) [Tuscola, Huron] 38-53, 59-41, 65-35, R55.6%, T66.6%, Safe R
85. (Ben Frederick) [Shiawassee, W Saginaw] 54-40, 53-43, 56-34, 62-38, R48.9%, T57.9%, Safe R
86. (Thomas Albert) [SE Kent, N Ionia] 70-30, 66-34, 60-35, 60-37, R63%, T58.6%, Safe R
87. (Julie Calley) [Barry, S Ionia] 62-35, 67-33, 67-28, 68-32, R58.7%, T63.5%, Safe R
88. (Luke Meerman) [NE Ottawa] 87-0, 80-20, 75-25, 71-29, R72.9%, T68.1%, Safe R
89. (Jim Lilly) [W Ottawa] 66-34, 68-32, 61-34, 62-38, R61.6%, T57.6%, Safe R
90. (Bradley Slagh) [Holland] 100-0, 78-22, 73-27, 66-34, R66.5%, T60.4%, Safe R
(R) Salgh, formerly the Ottawa County Treasurer, faces a primary from Hudsonville Mayor Mark Northrup.
91. (Greg VanWoerkom) [S, W Muskegon] 47.3-48.1, 46.5-46.3, 49.3-43.7, R48.5%, T54.1%, Lean R
VanWoerkom, son of state senator (02-10) Jerry VanWoerkom, comfortably won a district that has flipped repeatedly over the past decade. The D nominee will be assistant prosecutor Brian Hosticka.
92. (Terry Sabo) [Muskegon city] 27-73, 33-67, 32-68, 31-69, R31.3%, T36.3%, Safe D
93. (Graham Filler) [S Gratiot, Clinton] 57-43, 56-35, 62-33, 52.5-44.6, R52.9%, T55.1%, Safe R
94. (Rodney Wakeman) [Saginaw Twp, E Saginaw] 56-44, 62-38, 65-35, 55-45, R55.7%, T57.7%, Safe R
95. (OPEN-Vanessa Guerra) [Saginaw city] 22-78, 24-76, 26-74, 27-73, R24.8%, T29.8%, Safe D
(D) Five people are seeking the D nomination. Saginaw City Council member Clint Bryant has the most money, though no candidate has raised much. Former Saginaw County commissioner James Graham has the RTL endorsement and a B from the NRA. Community organizer Carly Hammond, Saginaw County commissioner Amos O'Neal, and businessman Brandell Adams are also running.
96. (Brian Elder) [Bay] 31-69, 32-68, 42-58, 43-57, R45.3%, T51.5%, Safe D
97. (Jason Wentworth) [Arenac, Gladwin, Clare, E Osceola] 62-38, 63-37, 65-35, 68-32, R53.2%, T65.1%, Safe R
Wentworth is expected to be the house R leader next term.
98. (Annette Glenn) [C Midland, N Bay] 59-41, 55-45, 60-40, 52-48, R56%, T56%, Lean R
Glenn had a close call from D Sarah Schulz in 2018, who is back this year. Both candidates have huge fundraising.
99. (Roger Hauck) [Isabella, W Midland] 57-43, 51.5-48.5, 54.6-45.4, 53.4-46.6, R48.1%, T52.8%, Lean R
(D) Teacher Randall Doyle and former Mount Pleasant public works leader John Zang are running.
100. (Scott VanSingel) [Newaygo, Oceana, Lake] 62-38, 63-37, 67-33, 66-34, R55.5%, T64.2%, Safe R
101. (Jack O'Malley) [Leelanau, Benzie, Manistee, Mason] 51-49, 50.4-49.6, 54-46, 58-42, R50.7%, T54%, Safe R
(R) Radio host Jack O'Malley, who is somewhat moderate, faces a primary from the right against Carolyn Cater, who lost the 2018 primary.
102. (Michelle Hoitenga) [Wexford, W Osceola, Mecosta] 54.8-45.2, 60-40, 69-31, 68-32, R56.3%, T63.4%, Safe R
103. (Daire Rendon) [Kalkaska, Crawford, Missaukee, Roscommon, Ogemaw] 52.8-47.2, 60-34, 58-42, 65-35, R55.9%, T66.4%, Safe R
104. (OPEN-Larry Inman) [Grand Traverse] 57-43, 53.2-46.8, 51.4-43.2, 50.4-49.6, R55.4%, T53.1%, Lean R
(R) Two candidates are seeking the nomination to replace scandal-plagued rep. Larry Inman. Grand Traverse County Republican Party chairman John Roth has somewhat more funding and establishment support. AFP organizer Heather Cerone has somewhat more conservative support.
(D) Attorney Dan O'Neil is back with big funding after coming close in 2018.
105. (OPEN-Triston Cole) [Antrim, Charlevoix, Otsego, Montmorency, Oscoda] 67-33, 63-37, 70-30, 65-35, R58.5%, T63.8%, Safe R
(R) Tony Cutler is a teacher and staffer for moderate state senator Wayne Schmidt who finished second in the 2014 primary. Otsego County Commissioner Ken Borton is most conservative candidate and has nearly equal funding. Jimmy Schmidt is a former 'conservative democrat' who is also seeking the R nomination.
106. (Sue Allor) [E Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Alpena, Alcona, Iosco] 52.2-45.3, 55-45, 61-35, 61-39, R53.6%, T63.2%, Safe R
107. (OPEN-Lee Chatfield) [Emmet, Mackinac, Chippewa, N Cheboygan] 58-42, 61-39, 67-33, 59-41, R55.5%, T58.9%, Safe R
(R) Seven candidates are seeking the R nomination to replace Speaker Chatfield. Documentary producer John Damoose has the best fundraising, endorsements from Chatfield and RTL, and is probably the most conservative candidate. Township Clerk Sue Fisher and Ducks Unlimited director Terry Lamb have mostly self-funded their campaigns. Kathy Twardy is a moderate who tried to primary Chatfield from the left in 2016. Also running are business consultant Tana Baldwin, truck driver David Laughbaum, and firearms instructor Damon Lieurance.
108. (Beau LaFave) [Delta, Menominee, Dickinson] 54.6-45.4, 60-40, 52.7-47.3, 62-38, R54.6%, T62.2%, Safe R
109. (Sara Cambensy) [Marquette, Alger, Schoolcraft, Luce] 42-58, 34-66, 34-62, 42-58, R45.4%, T48.7%, Safe D
110. (Gregory Markkanen) [W Upper Peninsula] 48.4-51.6, 39-61, 39-61, 50.8-49.2, R51.6%, T56.5%, Lean R
(D) Three Ds are seeking the nomination to take on Markkanen, a surprise winner in 2018. Chemical engineer Janet Metsa has the best funding.
Ratings:
Safe D: 45
Lean D: 5 (20, 25, 41, 48, 62)
Tossup: 4 (19, 38, 61, 71)
Lean R: 7 (39, 45, 91, 98, 99, 104, 110)
Safe R: 49
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