Sunday, March 18, 2018

2018 Michigan State House Races

Last updated August 1, 2018.

Cross-posted at The Western RightRight Michigan, and RRH Elections.

All 110 seats in the Michigan House of Representatives will be up for election in November. Republicans won a 63-47 majority in 2016, the same margin as in 2014. There are 42 open seats, 25 held by Republicans and 17 held by democrats. There are 23 open due to term-limits, 18 just due to seeking another office, and 1 pure retirement.

Democrats are hoping to take control of the state house. They may benefit from anti-Trump enthusiasm.  In some seats, the candidate fields have yet to take shape. Libertarians achieved major party status due to Gary Johnson's showing in 2016, which makes it easier for people to run as Libertarians.  Another factor is the fate of the bill eliminating straight ticket voting, which is currently tied up in court.

The last two cycles have seen contests between moderate and conservative factions in the house GOP, won by the conservatives narrowly in 2014 and more decisively in 2016.  This time, the house GOP candidate recruitment is solidly in the hands of conservatives, and conservative Lee Chatfield is the presumptive next house GOP leader.  There are still likely to be some ideological battles, particularly in districts vacated by moderate incumbents.

Republican Michigander has a profile of the Michigan state house focusing more on district demographics.





The following lists district number, current incumbent, geographic description, 2012, 2014, and 2016 state house results, 2012 Romney %, 2016 Trump % (if known), and political rating.  Candidates who filed a reporting waiver, indicating that they will not raise more than $1000 (and hence are not serious) are typically omitted.  The complete candidate list is available here:

http://miboecfr.nictusa.com/election/candlist/2018PRI_CANDLIST.html

1. (Tenisha Yancey) [Detroit] 29-71, 31-69, 32-68, R23.5%, Safe D
(D) Yancey succeeded Brian Banks, who resigned following another felony conviction.
2. (OPEN-Bettie Cook Scott) [Detroit] 26-72, 33-67, 28-72, 23.8%, Safe D
(D) There are seven candidates, led by ex-Marine Joe Tate and community organizer Carla Tinsley-Smith.
3. (Wendell Byrd) [Detroit] 3-96, 3-97, 3-97, 1.6%, Safe D
(D) Byrd has four challengers, none of whom have reported raising any money.
4. (OPEN-Rose Robinson) [Detroit] 5-95, 5-95, 5-95, 3.4%, Safe D
(D) An incredible 14 D candidates are running for this seat.  There are five who have raised at least 10K.  They are political staffer Rico Razo, community organizer Michelle Oberholtzer, community organizer Matt Friedrichs, political staffer Jeffrey Nolish, and Hamtramck City Councilman Saad Almasmari.
5. (OPEN-Fred Durhal III) [Detroit] 6-94, 5-95, 7-93, 2.7%, Safe D
(D) There are six candidates, led by radio broadcaster Cynthia Johnson and political staffer Mark Payne.
6. (OPEN-Stephanie Chang) [Detroit] 5-92, 6-94, 7-93, 5.3%, Safe D
(D) This district has a strong claim to be the most diverse in Michigan, and has successively had black, Hispanic, Jewish, Muslim, and Chinese representatives.  Ten Ds are running for this seat, including six who have raised over 20K. They are attorney Aghogbo Edevbie, political staffer Terra DeFoe, political staffer Tom Choske, political staffer Ricardo White, union organizer Charlesetta Wilson, and government employee Tyrone Carter.
7. (LaTanya Garrett) [Detroit] 2-98, 2-98, 2-98, 0.9%, Safe D
(D) Garrett has three challengers, none of whom have reported raising money.
8. (Sherry Gay-Dagnogo) [Detroit] 3-97, 3-97, 4-96, 2%, Safe D
(D) After flirting with a run for congress, Gay-Dagnogo has four challengers, including Detroit city employee George Etheridge.
9. (OPEN-Sylvia Santana) [Detroit] 5-95, 4-96, 6-94, 3.3%, Safe D
(D) Community organizer Karen Whitsett, educator Donald Stuckey, and former WSU Board of Governors member and political staffer Gary Pollard are competing for this seat.
10. (Leslie Love) [Detroit] 14-86, 18-82, 15-82, 16.4%, Safe D
(D) Love has three challengers, none of whom have reported raising any money.
11. (Jewell Jones) [Inkster, Garden City] 28-72, 30-70, 36-64, R29.3%, T34.8%, Safe D
(D) Then 21-year-old Inkster city councilman Jewell Jones was nominated by party insiders after the 2016 primary following the sudden death of Rep. Julie Plawecki.  In his first primary, he faces Garden City mayor Randy Walker.  The race is reportedly very close.
12. (OPEN-Erika Geiss) [Taylor, Romulus] 25-75, 30-70, 33-67, 39-61, R29.5%, T38.9%, Safe D
(D) Taylor councilman Alex Garza is the only one of four candidates to report significant fundraising.
13. (Frank Liberati) [Southgate, Allen Park, Dearborn Heights] 35-65, 39-61, R40.3%, T46.7%, Safe D
14. (Cara Clemente) [Riverview, Wyandotte, Lincoln Park, Melvindale] 26-71, 30-70, 36-64, R34.9%, T44.3%, Safe D
15. (Abdullah Hammoud) [Dearborn] 25-75, 32-68, 38-62, R33.5%, T31%, Safe D
16. (OPEN-Robert Kosowski) [Westland, Wayne] 28-68, 32-68, 36-64, R33.3%, T38.7%, Safe D
(D) Westland councilman Bill Johnson leads fundraising, followed by Sanders activist Mike McDermott and former Westland councilman Kevin Coleman.
17. (Joe Bellino) [N Monroe, Sumpter, Huron] 39-61, 40-60, 52.2-44.3, R45.3%, T56.3%, Tossup
Republican Joseph Bellino pulled off a shocking upset against D Bill LaVoy in a district that swung heavily to Trump. Lavoy's wife Michelle is running this time.
18. (Kevin Hertel) [St. Clair Shores, Eastpointe] 34-64, 38-62, 37-63, R40.7%, T44.9%, Safe D
19. (OPEN-Laura Cox) [Livonia] 60-40, 62-38, 61-39, R52%, T51.1%, Tossup
(R) Livonia city councilman Brian Meakin is unopposed for the R nomination.
(D) Livonia school board member Dan Centers leads microbiologist Laurie Pohutsky in fundraising.
20. (Jeff Noble) [Plymouth, Northville] 56-44, 60-40, 53.6-46.4, R51.8%, T45.7%, Lean R
21. (Kristy Pagan) [Canton, Van Buren] 38-62, 45-55, 41-59, R43.3%, Safe D
22. (John Chirkun) [Roseville, E Warren] 30-70, 32-64, 35-60, R36.2%, Safe D
23. (Darin Calmilleri) [SE Wayne] 50.5-49.5, 52.1-47.9, 49.7-50.3, R47.5%, T53.8%, Safe D
24. (Steve Marino) [Harrison, N Clinton, SW Macomb] 54.7-45.3, 59-39, 55-45, R47.5%, T56%, Lean R
25. (OPEN-Henry Yanez) [E Sterling Heights, NC Warren] 48.6-51.4, 46.5-53.5, 46-54, R47.8%, T52.5%, Lean D
R Jazmine Early and D Nate Shannon are both unopposed for their party nominations.
26. (Jim Ellison) [Royal Oak, Madison Heights] 36-60, 39-61, 41-59, R40.3%, T37.5%, Safe D
27. (Robert Whittenberg) [Oak Park, Ferndale, Hazel Park] 20-76, 24-76, 23-77, R24.8%, T23.3%, Safe D
28. (Patrick Green) [W Warren, Center Line] 21-79, 36-64, 34-66, R35.8%, Safe D
29. (OPEN-Tim Greimel) [Pontiac, Auburn Hills, Orchard Lake] 23-77, 26-74, 25-71, R23.9%, T26.7%, Safe D
(D)  Pontiac School Board member Brenda Carter, businessman Chris Jackson, and pastor Keyon Payton are the only candidates (of six) to raise money.
30. (Diana Farrington) [W Sterling Heights, Utica, SE Shelby] 53.3-46.7, 55-45, 54-46, R51.5%, T57.1%, Lean R
(D) Attorney Wisam Naoum is the only candidate raising money.
31. (William Sowerby) [S Clinton, Fraser, Mt. Clemens] 34-62, 39-61, 39-56, R41.8%, T48.1%, Safe D
32. (Pamela Hornberger) [Chesterfield, C St. Clair] 59-41, 62-38, 64-36, R53.9%, T64.5%, Safe R
33. (Jeff Yaroch) [NE Macomb, Macomb Twp.] 62-38, 66-34, 70-30, R56.2%, T63.8%, Safe R
34. (Sheldon Neeley) [Flint] 13-87, 9-91, 11-89, R8.3%, Safe D
35. (OPEN-Jeremy Moss) [Southfield] 17-83, 17-83, 16-84, R17.6%, T15.7%, Safe D
(D) State senator Vincent Gregory is seeking a third and final state house term.  He has actually been outraised by businesswoman Katie Reiter and attorney Kyra Bolden.  Alex Meyers, Lisa Cece, and Michael Poole are also running.
36. (OPEN-Peter Lucido) [Shelby, Washington, Bruce] 64-36, 70-30, 72-28, R61%, T65.7%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Potchynok-Lund) Karen Potchynok-Lund, wife of conservative former rep Pete Lund (08-14), has the most establishment support and best fundraising.  Scott Czasak, a staffer for rep Lucido (10-14), Shelby Township Trustee Douglas Wozniak, Frank Lams, and Tom Stanis are also running.
37. (Kristine Greig) [Farmington] 38-62, 43-57, 36-61, R40.3%, T35.6%, Safe D
38. (Kathy Crawford) [Novi, Lyon] 59-41, 63-37, 58-42, R53.6%, T49.4%, Lean R
(R) (Likely Crawford) Crawford, one of the more moderate R members of the state house, has repeatedly attracted challenges from the right.  Chase Turner is challenging her this time.
(D) Dentist Aditi Bagchi has led fundraising.  Attorney and Novi city councilmember Kelly Breen and Joe Petrillo are also running.
39. (OPEN-Klint Kesto) [W West Bloomfield, Commerce, Wixom] 53.3-46.7, 52.3-47.7, 50.4-42.2, R51.5%, T50.4%, Tossup
(R) (Lean Kosmatka) Assistant prosecutor Marsha Kosmatka, a mainstream conservative, has establishment support and a fundraising lead.  Attorney and firearms instructor Ryan Berman, Michigan GOP official Kevin Tatulyan, and Phillip Hoyt are also seeking the R nomination.
40. (OPEN-Michael McCready) [Bloomfield, Birmingham, E West Bloomfield] 57-41, 58-42, 53.5-46.5, R52.8%, T42.7%, Tossup
(R) (Tossup) Lawyer/businessman David Wolkinson, a conservative former state GOP official, finished a close second in the 2012 primary for this seat.  CPA Paul Taros is a Tea Party activist who may not be the best fit for a moderate district. Michigan GOP youth chair Mike Banerian and businesswoman Malissa Bossardet have moderately conservative platforms.  Joe Zane has establishment support but has made many democrat donations.  Paul Secrest is a (former) democrat and openly liberal.
(D) Former state department employee Mari Manoogian has a fundraising lead.  Dietician and anti-gun activist Nicole Bedi, who held McCready to a 7% victory in 2016, is running again.
41. (OPEN-Martin Howrylak) [Troy, Clawson] 50.5-49.5, 56-44, 56-44, R51.6%, T47%, Tossup
(R) (Tossup) County commissioner, former Troy councilman and David Trott staffer Doug Tietz is a mainstream conservative.  Troy councilman Ethan Baker has more support from moderates.  The third candidate is Ronald Dwyer.
42. (OPEN-Lana Theis) [SE Livingston] 63-33, 65-35, 64-32, R60.2%, T59.3%, Safe R
(R) Brighton Township Trustee Ann Bollin is unopposed for the R nomination (don't tell Henry VIII!).
43. (OPEN-Jim Tedder) [Waterford, Independence] 66-34, 58-42, 66-34, R54.8%, T56.8%, Safe R
(R) (Tossup) Independence Township Trustees Andrea Schroder and Jose Aliaga, who finished second and third in the 2014 primary, are running again.  Waterford Township Trustee Anthony Bartolotta, who is more moderate, is also running.
44. (OPEN-Jim Runestad) [Springfield, White Lake, Highland, Milford] 63-33, 68-32, 69-31, R59.1%, T60.6%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Maddock) Businessman, Tea Party leader and Trump supporter Matt Maddock has given the local establishment fits with his frequent challenges to party officials and his narrow loss to incumbent state sen Mike Kowall in 2014.  He has a big fundraising advantage and support from Right to Life.  Businessman Matt Marko and Kowall staffer Lynn O'Brien are also competitive.  April Guiles and Michael Mamut are also running.
45. (Michael Webber) [Rochester, S Oakland Twp] 56-44, 56-44, 62-38, R55.9%, T51.5%, Safe R
46. (John Reilly) [NE Oakland] 64-36, 69-31, 69-31, R60.1%, T61.1%, Safe R
47. (Henry Vaupel) [N Livingston] 64-32, 69-27, 68-27, R62.5%, T65.1%, Safe R
48. (OPEN-Pam Faris) [NE Genesee] 36-64, 38-62, 46-54, R39.8%, T51.8%, Safe D
(D) Dr. Sheryl Kennedy has a big fundraising lead over two other candidates.
49. (OPEN-Phil Phelps) [Flint Twp., Mt. Morris, SW Flint] 25-75, 26-74, 32-68, R28.8%, Safe D
(D) John Cherry, son of the former LG of the same name, leads fundraising.  Former Flint Mayor Dayne Walling, who lost his reelection during the water crisis, is also running.  Four other candidates have raised little.
50. (Tim Sneller) [Burton, Grand Blanc, Mundy] 39-61, 41-59, 48-52, R42.7%, T47.9%, Safe D
51. (Joe Graves) [W Genesee, Fenton, NW Oakland] 54.3-45.7, 58-42, 61-34, R53.1%, T59.1%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Mueller) Police officer Mike Mueller has most establishment support.  County commissioner Drew Shapiro has a history of run-ins with the police.  Trump delegate Ian Shetron and attorney Matthew Anderton are also running.
52. (Donna Lasinski) [W Washtenaw] 47-53, 44-56, 44.7-52.2, R47.5%, T42.5%, Safe D
53. (Yousef Rabhi) [Ann Arbor] 19-81, 18-82, 16-80, R19.5%, Safe D
54. (Ronnie Peterson) [Ypsilanti] 23-77, 25-75, 25-75, R23.8%, T23.1%, Safe D
55. (OPEN-Adam Zemke) [Pittsfield, NE Ann Arbor, York, Augusta] 32-65, 32-68, 31-69, R31.6%, Safe D
(D) State senator Rebekah Warren is running for a third and final state house term.  She is overwhelmingly favored over Shauna McNally.
56. (Jason Sheppard) [S Monroe] 58-42, 50.3-47.1, 58-39, R50.6%, T59.2%, Safe R
57. (Bronna Khale) [Lenawee] 52.5-47.5, 59-41, 56-44, R49.9%, T57.2%, Safe R
58. (Eric Leutheuser) [Branch, Hillsdale] 70-30, 71-29, 75-25, R60.1%, T68.8%, Safe R
59. (Aaron Miller) [St. Joseph, E Cass] 62-38, 62-38, 67-33, R54.7%, T62%, Safe R
60. (Jon Hoadley) [Kalamazoo, Kalamazoo Twp.] 26-74, 30-70, 25-69, R26.8%, T24%, Safe D
61. (Brandt Iden) [Portage, Oshtemo, Texas, Schoolcraft, Prairie Ronde] 58-42, 48.4-42.7, 49.4-44.7, R49.1%, T44.9%, Lean R
(D) WMU teacher Alberta Griffin and game designer Thomas Whitener are roughly even in funding, with Corey Kendall also running.
62. (OPEN-John Bizon) [Battle Creek, Albion, N Calhoun] 42-58, 51.2-48.8, 48-47.5, R43.8%, T48.4%, Lean D
D Calhoun County Commissioner Jim Haadsma, who narrowly lost to Bizon in 2016, is running again.  Dave Morgan, former Calhoun D chairman and state house candidate turned R Pennfield Township Supervisor, is the R nominee.
63. (David Maturen) [E Kalamazoo, S Calhoun] 50.9-49.1, 56-44, 61-33, R54.6%, T57.5%, Safe R
(R) (Tossup) Maturen is one of the most moderate Rs in the legislature.  He faces a self-funded challenged by MI GOP activist Matt Hall, an ardent Trump supporter who is more conservative.
64. (Julie Alexander) [Jackson city, W Jackson] 56-44, 61-39, 63-37, R51.2%, T54%, Safe R
65. (OPEN-Brett Roberts) [N Jackson, SE Eaton] 57-43, 57-40, 61-35, R53.4%, T59.8%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Lightner) The candidates are Jackson county commissioner Sarah Lightner, former Leoni Township supervisor Todd Britain, Jackson county commissioner Carl Rice, and Matt Eyer.
66. (Beth Griffin) [Van Buren, Cooper, Alamo, Parchment] 59-41, 57-43, 54.3-45.7, R49.7%, T53.5%, Lean R
67. (OPEN-Tom Cochran) [S Ingham] 44-56, 46-54, 45.4-54.6, R44.8%, T44.7%, Safe D
(R) (Likely Clark) Leon Clark is the only candidate who has raised money.
(D) Ingham County commissioner Kara Hope is the only one of five candidates with significant fundraising.
68. (OPEN-Andy Schor) [Lansing] 23-77, 23-77, 22-73, R24.6%, T24.1%, Safe D
(D) Schor vacated this seat after his election as Mayor of Lansing.  Former R state rep Paul DeWeese (98-02) has a fundraising lead.  His main competitors are Ingham county commissioner Sarah Anthony and progressive activist Kelly Collison.  There are four other candidates in the general election and two others in the special election.
69. (OPEN-Sam Singh) [East Lansing, Meridian] 35-65, 32-68, 32-68, R35.9%, T28.9%, Safe D
(D) Meridian Township Treasurer Julie Brixie led fundraising, followed by former county commissioner Penelope Tsernoglou and county commissioner Teri Banas.
70. (James Lower) [Montcalm, N Gratiot] 54.5-45.5, 62-38, 63-32, R52.6%, T61.8%, Safe R
71. (OPEN-Tom Barrett) [Eaton] 46.6-53.4, 50.4-49.6, 54-43, R47.3%, T48.1%, Tossup
(R) (Lean Cascarilla) Businessman Chuck Cascarilla has led fundraising, followed by Eaton County commissioner Christine Barnes, teacher Chris Stewart, and Clarissa Trevino.
(D) School board member Angela Witwer has a fundraising lead over educator Beth Bowen.
72. (Steven Johnson) [Kentwood, Gaines, NE Allegan] 59-38, 68-32, 59-41, R56.3%, T51.7%, Safe R
(R) (Likely Johnson) Johnson, a libertarian conservative in the mold of Justin Amash, is being challenged from the left by Wayland Mayor pro tem Jennifer Antel.
73. (OPEN-Chris Afendoulis) [Grand Rapids Twp, Plainfield, NE Kent] 64-32, 68-32, 64-32, R60.9%, T55.5%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Afendoulis) Lynn Afendoulis, cousin of the (moderate) incumbent has most establishment support.  Businessman Ken Fortier has also fundraised well. Businessman Robert Regan, who finished second in 2014, is the most conservative and has some grassroots support.  The final candidate is Cannon Township Trustee David Spencer.
74. (OPEN-Rob Verhuelen) [Grandville, Walker, Alpine, NW Kent] 66-34, 69-31, 64-31, R60.4%, T58.8%, Safe R
(R) Mark Huizenga, mayor of Walker, is unopposed for the R nomination.
75. (Dave LaGrand) [central Grand Rapids] 24-76, 26-74, 24-76, R23.8%, Safe D
76. (OPEN-Winnie Brinks) [peripheral Grand Rapids] 39-52, 45.6-52.1, 39-57, R44.2%, Safe D
R Amanda Brand and D Rachel Hood are unopposed for their nominations.
77. (Tommy Brann) [Wyoming, Byron] 60-36, 67-33, 66-34, R58.3%, T54.2%, Safe R
(R) (Safe Brann) Brann should have no trouble with Jordan Oesch.
(D) Leftist activist Robert VanKirk is the only candidate raising money.
78. (OPEN-Dave Pagel) [S Berrien, SW Cass] 61-39, 67-33, 68-32, R56.1%, T58.9%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Mann) Niles city councilman David Mann has a fundraising lead and grassroots support.  Teacher Brad Paquette, businesswoman Kelly Priede, Steve Bury, Dana Daniels, and Daniel Hinkle are also running.
79. (OPEN-Kim LaSata) [N Berrien] 52.8-45.7, 59-39, 59-38, R51.5%, T51.4%, Lean R
(R) (Lean Wendzel) Businesswoman Pauline Wendzel has a large fundraising lead.  Also running are professional volunteer Maria Moen, black Republican activist Troy Rolling, technical writer Bruce Gorenflo, and JoAnn DeMuelenaere.
80. (Mary Whiteford) [Allegan] 62-38, 63-34, 67-28, R57.6%, T59.8%, Safe R
81. (OPEN-Dan Lauwers) [NW, E St. Clair] 53.8-46.2, 65-35, 69-31, R55%, T65.6%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Nicholl) Eight R candidates are running, the most of any district in Michigan. Leading the pack is school administrator Kenneth Nicholl. Snyder staffer Eric Stocker and firearms instructor Gary Eisen, who finished second in 2012, are also competitive.  Rounding out the field are John Mahaney, Michael Pratt, Dan Tollis, Dan Turke, and Joel Willaims.
82. (Gary Howell) [Lapeer] 59-41, 55-45, 69-31, R55.1%, T66.5%, Safe R
83. (Shane Hernandez) [Sanilac, Port Huron] 56-44, 62-38, 63-34, R52.5%, T60.8%, Safe R
84. (OPEN-Edward Canfield) [Tuscola, Huron] 38-53, 59-41, 65-35, R55.6%, T66.6%, Safe R
(R) (Tossup) Canfield is retiring after two terms for personal reasons.  There doesn't seem to be a clear distinction between county commissioner Matthew Bierlein, Phil Green, son of conservative state senator (10-18) Mike Green, and businessman Dean Smith.
85. (Ben Frederick) [Shiawassee, W Saginaw] 54-40, 53-43, 56-34, R48.9%, T57.9%, Safe R
86. (Thomas Albert) [SE Kent, N Ionia] 70-30, 66-34, 60-35, R63%, T58.6%, Safe R
87. (Julie Calley) [Barry, S Ionia] 62-35, 67-33, 67-28, R58.7%, T63.5%, Safe R
88. (OPEN-Roger Victory) [NE Ottawa] 87-0, 80-20, 75-25, R72.9%, T68.1%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Meerman) Farmer Luke Meerman is the favorite, with plenty of establishment and conservative support.  Michael Bosch, Brent Huddleston, and Georgetown Township Trustee Jason Minier are also running.
89. (Jim Lilly) [W Ottawa] 66-34, 68-32, 61-34, R61.6%, T57.6%, Safe R
(R) (Safe Lilly) Lilly shouldn't have trouble defeating retiree Beverly Zimmerman.
90. (OPEN-Daniela Garcia) [Holland] 100-0, 78-22, 73-27, R66.5%, T60.4%, Safe R
(R) (Likely Slagh) Ottawa County Treasurer Bradley Slagh has all the establishment support over Orlando Estrada.
91. (OPEN-Holly Hughes) [S, W Muskegon] 47.3-48.1, 46.5-46.3, 49.3-43.7, R48.5%, T54.1%, Tossup
(R) (Likely VanWoerkom) Congressional staffer Greg VanWoerkom, son of state senator (02-10) Jerry VanWoerkom, faces former county commissioner Alan Jager, who is running somewhat further right.
(D) Whitehall city council member Tanya Cabala is the only candidate raising money.
92. (Terry Sabo) [Muskegon city] 27-73, 33-67, 32-68, R31.3%, T36.3%, Safe D
93. (OPEN-Tom Leonard) [S Gratiot, Clinton] 57-43, 56-35, 62-33, R52.9%, T55.1%, Safe R
(R) (Tossup) Assistant AG Graham Filler has led fundraising, followed by Snyder administration official Madhu Anderson and county commissioner Anne Hill, who is the most conservative.  All three seem to have a good chance to win.
94. (OPEN-Tim Kelly) [Saginaw Twp, E Saginaw] 56-44, 62-38, 65-35, R55.7%, T57.7%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Gerhardt) Saginaw Township Treasurer Steven Gerhardt has more conservative support against moderate funeral home owner Rodney Wakeman.  Rick Riebschleger is also running.
95. (Vanessa Guerra) [Saginaw city] 22-78, 24-76, 26-74, R24.8%, T29.8%, Safe D
96. (Brian Elder) [Bay] 31-69, 32-68, 42-58, R45.3%, T51.5%, Safe D
97. (Jason Wentworth) [Arenac, Gladwin, Clare, E Osceola] 62-38, 63-37, 65-35, R53.2%, T65.1%, Safe R
98. (OPEN-Gary Glenn) [C Midland, N Bay] 59-41, 55-45, 60-40, R56%, T56%, Safe R
(R) (Safe Glenn) Annette Glenn, wife of the incumbent, faces Carl Hamann, who is not raising money.
99. (Roger Hauck) [Isabella, W Midland] 57-43, 51.5-48.5, 54.6-45.4, R48.1%, T52.8%, Tossup
(D) Mount Pleasant Mayor Allison Quast-Lents faces attorney Kristen Brown and Randall Doyle.
100. (Scott VanSingel) [Newaygo, Oceana, Lake] 62-38, 63-37, 67-33, R55.5%, T64.2%, Safe R
101. (OPEN-Curt VanderWall) [Leelanau, Benzie, Manistee, Mason] 51-49, 50.4-49.6, 54-46, R50.7%, T54%, Tossup
(R) (Likely O'Malley) Radio host Jack O'Malley has most establishment support against Carolyn Cater, who is running somewhat to his right.
(D) Nurse Kathy Wiejaczka seems to be favored over Edward Hoogterp.
102. (Michelle Hoitenga) [Wexford, W Osceola, Mecosta] 54.8-45.2, 60-40, 69-31, R56.3%, T63.4%, Safe R
(R) (Lean Hoitenga) Hoitenga has been one of the most conservative members of the house since her election in 2016.  She is being challenged from the left by former Cadillac Mayor William Barnett.
103. (Daire Rendon) [Kalkaska, Crawford, Missaukee, Roscommon, Ogemaw] 52.8-47.2, 60-34, 58-42, R55.9%, T66.4%, Safe R
104. (Larry Inman) [Grand Traverse] 57-43, 53.2-46.8, 51.4-43.2, R55.4%, T53.1%, Lean R
105. (Triston Cole) [Antrim, Charlevoix, Otsego, Montmorency, Oscoda] 67-33, 63-37, 70-30, R58.5%, T63.8%, Safe R
106. (Sue Allor) [E Cheboygan, Presque Isle, Alpena, Alcona, Iosco] 52.2-45.3, 55-45, 61-35, R53.6%, T63.2%, Safe R
(D) Attorney Lora Greene is the only candidate raising money.
107. (Lee Chatfield) [Emmet, Mackinac, Chippewa, N Cheboygan] 58-42, 61-39, 67-33, R55.5%, T58.9%, Safe R
(R) (Safe Chatfield) Chatfield is the presumptive choice to be Republican leader next term.  He faces a gadfly primary challenge from Bruce Newville.
(D) Farmer Joanne Galloway is the only candidate raising money.
108. (Beau LaFave) [Delta, Menominee, Dickinson] 54.6-45.4, 60-40, 52.7-47.3, R54.6%, T62.2%, Lean R
109. (Sara Cambensy) [Marquette, Alger, Schoolcraft, Luce] 42-58, 34-66, 34-62, R45.4%, T48.7%, Safe D
(D) Cambensey, who lost a primary challenge to John Kivela in 2016, won a special election to replace Kivela after his suicide.
110. (OPEN-Scott Dianda) [W Upper Peninsula] 48.4-51.6, 39-61, 39-61, R51.6%, T56.5%, Lean D
(R) (Likely Schott) Dr. Kirk Schott is the strongest candidate in a very weak field (others are Keith LaCosse, Gregory Markkanen, and Brady Tervo).  Republicans seem likely to punt this Trump-won seat due to weak recruitment.

Ratings:
Safe D: 45
Lean D: 3 (25, 62, 110)
Tossup: 9 (17, 19, 39, 40, 41, 71, 91, 99, 101)
Lean R: 9 (20, 24, 30, 38, 61, 66, 79, 104, 108)
Safe R: 44

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